Recent short-range guidance from ECMWF and KNMI ensembles supports daily maxima near 25–26 °C in Amsterdam on August 2, driving the market’s tight clustering at those levels with combined implied probability exceeding 59 %. Moderate westerly flow and persistent North Sea marine air limit strong diurnal warming, while variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing introduce 1–2 °C uncertainty that traders price through small probability shifts across adjacent bins. This range sits slightly above early-August climatology of 22–23 °C, reflecting modest high-pressure influence without major heat advection. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings expected within 24 hours will refine the peak and potentially move the 26 °C contract.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 2?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 2?
26°C 37%
25°C 30%
27°C 17%
24°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 2, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
9%
25°C
30%
26°C
37%
27°C
17%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 37%
25°C 30%
27°C 17%
24°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 2, 2026
21°C or below
$10 KL.
1%
22°C
$76 KL.
1%
23°C
$0 KL.
4%
24°C
$40 KL.
9%
25°C
$0 KL.
30%
26°C
$32 KL.
37%
27°C
$0 KL.
17%
28°C
$5 KL.
3%
29°C
$20 KL.
1%
30°C
$33 KL.
1%
31°C or higher
$10 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range guidance from ECMWF and KNMI ensembles supports daily maxima near 25–26 °C in Amsterdam on August 2, driving the market’s tight clustering at those levels with combined implied probability exceeding 59 %. Moderate westerly flow and persistent North Sea marine air limit strong diurnal warming, while variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing introduce 1–2 °C uncertainty that traders price through small probability shifts across adjacent bins. This range sits slightly above early-August climatology of 22–23 °C, reflecting modest high-pressure influence without major heat advection. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings expected within 24 hours will refine the peak and potentially move the 26 °C contract.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$226Ngày kết thúc
Aug 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range guidance from ECMWF and KNMI ensembles supports daily maxima near 25–26 °C in Amsterdam on August 2, driving the market’s tight clustering at those levels with combined implied probability exceeding 59 %. Moderate westerly flow and persistent North Sea marine air limit strong diurnal warming, while variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing introduce 1–2 °C uncertainty that traders price through small probability shifts across adjacent bins. This range sits slightly above early-August climatology of 22–23 °C, reflecting modest high-pressure influence without major heat advection. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings expected within 24 hours will refine the peak and potentially move the 26 °C contract.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$226Ngày kết thúc
Aug 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range guidance from ECMWF and KNMI ensembles supports daily maxima near 25–26 °C in Amsterdam on August 2, driving the market’s tight clustering at those levels with combined implied probability exceeding 59 %. Moderate westerly flow and persistent North Sea marine air limit strong diurnal warming, while variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing introduce 1–2 °C uncertainty that traders price through small probability shifts across adjacent bins. This range sits slightly above early-August climatology of 22–23 °C, reflecting modest high-pressure influence without major heat advection. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings expected within 24 hours will refine the peak and potentially move the 26 °C contract.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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