Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 2 point to a daily range of 24–28°C amid ongoing showers and high humidity near the Pearl River Estuary, driving trader consensus toward a minimum near 24–25°C. Subtropical summer conditions typically feature average overnight lows of 26–27°C, but increased cloud cover and moisture from the South China Sea can limit radiative cooling and moderate extremes. The seasonal outlook of normal-to-above-normal temperatures provides background context, yet localized shower patterns and wind influences introduce short-term variability that aligns with the market-implied clustering. Updated model guidance and official minimum readings on August 2 will determine resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 2?
24°C 48%
25°C 33%
23°C 17%
26°C 6%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
19%
24°C
48%
25°C
37%
26°C
6%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 48%
25°C 33%
23°C 17%
26°C 6%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
19%
24°C
48%
25°C
37%
26°C
6%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 2 point to a daily range of 24–28°C amid ongoing showers and high humidity near the Pearl River Estuary, driving trader consensus toward a minimum near 24–25°C. Subtropical summer conditions typically feature average overnight lows of 26–27°C, but increased cloud cover and moisture from the South China Sea can limit radiative cooling and moderate extremes. The seasonal outlook of normal-to-above-normal temperatures provides background context, yet localized shower patterns and wind influences introduce short-term variability that aligns with the market-implied clustering. Updated model guidance and official minimum readings on August 2 will determine resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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