Persistent high pressure and a strong heat dome over the southern Plains have sustained above-normal temperatures across Central Texas through late September, with Austin seeing multiple days near or above 100°F earlier in the month. Short-range models from the National Weather Service and private forecasters currently converge on highs of 95–97°F for September 25 under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, well above the seasonal average near 90°F but below the extreme 106°F+ threshold. A potential influx of drier air from the northeast could modestly lower dew points and limit afternoon heating, while any delay in pattern weakening would support continued upper-90s readings. This narrow window between amplified ridge persistence and subtle frontal influences creates the observed market split between tail outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Austin on September 25?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 25?
102-103°F 36%
96-97°F 35%
98-99°F 33%
92-93°F 32%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 25, 2026
87°F or below
5%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
32%
94-95°F
26%
96-97°F
35%
98-99°F
33%
100-101°F
17%
102-103°F
36%
104-105°F
31%
106°F or higher
6%
102-103°F 36%
96-97°F 35%
98-99°F 33%
92-93°F 32%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 25, 2026
87°F or below
$0 KL.
5%
88-89°F
$0 KL.
6%
90-91°F
$0 KL.
2%
92-93°F
$0 KL.
32%
94-95°F
$0 KL.
26%
96-97°F
$0 KL.
35%
98-99°F
$0 KL.
33%
100-101°F
$0 KL.
17%
102-103°F
$0 KL.
36%
104-105°F
$0 KL.
31%
106°F or higher
$0 KL.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and a strong heat dome over the southern Plains have sustained above-normal temperatures across Central Texas through late September, with Austin seeing multiple days near or above 100°F earlier in the month. Short-range models from the National Weather Service and private forecasters currently converge on highs of 95–97°F for September 25 under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, well above the seasonal average near 90°F but below the extreme 106°F+ threshold. A potential influx of drier air from the northeast could modestly lower dew points and limit afternoon heating, while any delay in pattern weakening would support continued upper-90s readings. This narrow window between amplified ridge persistence and subtle frontal influences creates the observed market split between tail outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 23, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 23, 2026, 3:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and a strong heat dome over the southern Plains have sustained above-normal temperatures across Central Texas through late September, with Austin seeing multiple days near or above 100°F earlier in the month. Short-range models from the National Weather Service and private forecasters currently converge on highs of 95–97°F for September 25 under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, well above the seasonal average near 90°F but below the extreme 106°F+ threshold. A potential influx of drier air from the northeast could modestly lower dew points and limit afternoon heating, while any delay in pattern weakening would support continued upper-90s readings. This narrow window between amplified ridge persistence and subtle frontal influences creates the observed market split between tail outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 23, 2026, 3:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and a strong heat dome over the southern Plains have sustained above-normal temperatures across Central Texas through late September, with Austin seeing multiple days near or above 100°F earlier in the month. Short-range models from the National Weather Service and private forecasters currently converge on highs of 95–97°F for September 25 under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, well above the seasonal average near 90°F but below the extreme 106°F+ threshold. A potential influx of drier air from the northeast could modestly lower dew points and limit afternoon heating, while any delay in pattern weakening would support continued upper-90s readings. This narrow window between amplified ridge persistence and subtle frontal influences creates the observed market split between tail outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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