Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami points to overnight lows in the mid-70s on September 25, with the 76-77°F bin holding the strongest market-implied odds. High dew points near 74°F and residual tropical moisture limit radiative cooling even under partly cloudy skies, while light northerly winds may enhance modest heat loss compared with typical southeasterly flow. Historical September minima average near 77°F, so the current setup reflects near-normal conditions without a strong cold front or tropical system. Model spread in cloud cover and timing of any showers creates the tight clustering between 74-77°F outcomes; updated NHC and local forecast discussions over the next 48 hours will refine the final range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Miami on September 25?
76-77°F 36%
80-81°F 32%
82-83°F 32%
84-85°F 32%
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
31%
70-71°F
31%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
36%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
32%
82-83°F
32%
84-85°F
32%
86°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 36%
80-81°F 32%
82-83°F 32%
84-85°F 32%
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
31%
70-71°F
31%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
36%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
32%
82-83°F
32%
84-85°F
32%
86°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 23, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami points to overnight lows in the mid-70s on September 25, with the 76-77°F bin holding the strongest market-implied odds. High dew points near 74°F and residual tropical moisture limit radiative cooling even under partly cloudy skies, while light northerly winds may enhance modest heat loss compared with typical southeasterly flow. Historical September minima average near 77°F, so the current setup reflects near-normal conditions without a strong cold front or tropical system. Model spread in cloud cover and timing of any showers creates the tight clustering between 74-77°F outcomes; updated NHC and local forecast discussions over the next 48 hours will refine the final range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp