Recent National Weather Service model guidance and ensemble forecasts point to a moderating air mass over the Midwest, with Chicago expected to see highs in the mid-70s as northwest flow and possible lake breeze effects limit daytime heating near Lake Michigan. This aligns with the market's heaviest trading around 74–77 °F, reflecting trader assessment of typical early-August conditions where afternoon temperatures rarely exceed seasonal normals of about 84 °F without strong high pressure or southerly advection. Cloud cover, wind speeds, and boundary-layer moisture remain key variables that could nudge the peak by a degree or two, while longer-range outlooks showing scattered showers or a weak front reinforce the limited upside risk above 79 °F. Updated NWS briefings and hourly model runs through the morning of August 2 will provide the final observational constraints for market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chicago on August 2?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 2?
76-77°F 45%
74-75°F 32%
78-79°F 15%
72-73°F 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 2, 2026
65°F or below
2%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
32%
76-77°F
45%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 45%
74-75°F 32%
78-79°F 15%
72-73°F 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 2, 2026
65°F or below
$5 KL.
2%
66-67°F
$21 KL.
2%
68-69°F
$21 KL.
2%
70-71°F
$5 KL.
2%
72-73°F
$0 KL.
12%
74-75°F
$25 KL.
32%
76-77°F
$17 KL.
45%
78-79°F
$36 KL.
15%
80-81°F
$27 KL.
1%
82-83°F
$17 KL.
1%
84°F or higher
$0 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model guidance and ensemble forecasts point to a moderating air mass over the Midwest, with Chicago expected to see highs in the mid-70s as northwest flow and possible lake breeze effects limit daytime heating near Lake Michigan. This aligns with the market's heaviest trading around 74–77 °F, reflecting trader assessment of typical early-August conditions where afternoon temperatures rarely exceed seasonal normals of about 84 °F without strong high pressure or southerly advection. Cloud cover, wind speeds, and boundary-layer moisture remain key variables that could nudge the peak by a degree or two, while longer-range outlooks showing scattered showers or a weak front reinforce the limited upside risk above 79 °F. Updated NWS briefings and hourly model runs through the morning of August 2 will provide the final observational constraints for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Khối lượng
$175Ngày kết thúc
Aug 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model guidance and ensemble forecasts point to a moderating air mass over the Midwest, with Chicago expected to see highs in the mid-70s as northwest flow and possible lake breeze effects limit daytime heating near Lake Michigan. This aligns with the market's heaviest trading around 74–77 °F, reflecting trader assessment of typical early-August conditions where afternoon temperatures rarely exceed seasonal normals of about 84 °F without strong high pressure or southerly advection. Cloud cover, wind speeds, and boundary-layer moisture remain key variables that could nudge the peak by a degree or two, while longer-range outlooks showing scattered showers or a weak front reinforce the limited upside risk above 79 °F. Updated NWS briefings and hourly model runs through the morning of August 2 will provide the final observational constraints for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$175Ngày kết thúc
Aug 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service model guidance and ensemble forecasts point to a moderating air mass over the Midwest, with Chicago expected to see highs in the mid-70s as northwest flow and possible lake breeze effects limit daytime heating near Lake Michigan. This aligns with the market's heaviest trading around 74–77 °F, reflecting trader assessment of typical early-August conditions where afternoon temperatures rarely exceed seasonal normals of about 84 °F without strong high pressure or southerly advection. Cloud cover, wind speeds, and boundary-layer moisture remain key variables that could nudge the peak by a degree or two, while longer-range outlooks showing scattered showers or a weak front reinforce the limited upside risk above 79 °F. Updated NWS briefings and hourly model runs through the morning of August 2 will provide the final observational constraints for market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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