Trader consensus clusters tightly around 15–17°C for Buenos Aires’ August 2 maximum because short-range forecast ensembles show only modest spread in key drivers: southerly cold-air advection behind a weak front, boundary-layer mixing under partly cloudy skies, and modest diurnal heating from low winter insolation at 34°S latitude. A slightly stronger northerly return flow or clearer conditions could push readings to 17°C, while deeper mixing or earlier cloud cover favors 15°C; official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional station data and historical August variability around the 16°C climatological mean support this narrow range. Market-implied odds reflect the limited differentiation among numerical guidance runs available 24–48 hours ahead.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 2?
16°C 37%
17°C 24%
15°C 21%
14°C 11%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
4%
14°C
11%
15°C
21%
16°C
29%
17°C
24%
18°C
4%
19°C or higher
3%
16°C 37%
17°C 24%
15°C 21%
14°C 11%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
4%
14°C
11%
15°C
21%
16°C
29%
17°C
24%
18°C
4%
19°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 15–17°C for Buenos Aires’ August 2 maximum because short-range forecast ensembles show only modest spread in key drivers: southerly cold-air advection behind a weak front, boundary-layer mixing under partly cloudy skies, and modest diurnal heating from low winter insolation at 34°S latitude. A slightly stronger northerly return flow or clearer conditions could push readings to 17°C, while deeper mixing or earlier cloud cover favors 15°C; official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional station data and historical August variability around the 16°C climatological mean support this narrow range. Market-implied odds reflect the limited differentiation among numerical guidance runs available 24–48 hours ahead.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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