Recent persistent rainfall and cloud cover across Chongqing have suppressed daytime heating, with observed highs mostly in the mid-20s°C through September 21–22 and official forecasts showing continued showers on the 24th that limit peaks to 29–31°C. This pattern, tied to lingering moisture from regional systems, creates genuine uncertainty in the precise maximum, reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds around 25–27°C. Global and regional models diverge on the timing of any clearing or modest warming ahead of the 24th, while September climatology (average highs near 27°C) provides context for the spread. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and next official briefings will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 24?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 24?
31°C or higher 50%
21°C or below 35%
25°C 25%
26°C 25%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 24, 2026
21°C or below
35%
22°C
15%
23°C
17%
24°C
15%
25°C
25%
26°C
25%
27°C
25%
28°C
12%
29°C
20%
30°C
10%
31°C or higher
50%
31°C or higher 50%
21°C or below 35%
25°C 25%
26°C 25%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 24, 2026
21°C or below
$0 KL.
35%
22°C
$0 KL.
15%
23°C
$0 KL.
17%
24°C
$0 KL.
15%
25°C
$0 KL.
25%
26°C
$0 KL.
25%
27°C
$0 KL.
25%
28°C
$0 KL.
12%
29°C
$0 KL.
20%
30°C
$17 KL.
10%
31°C or higher
$23 KL.
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent persistent rainfall and cloud cover across Chongqing have suppressed daytime heating, with observed highs mostly in the mid-20s°C through September 21–22 and official forecasts showing continued showers on the 24th that limit peaks to 29–31°C. This pattern, tied to lingering moisture from regional systems, creates genuine uncertainty in the precise maximum, reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds around 25–27°C. Global and regional models diverge on the timing of any clearing or modest warming ahead of the 24th, while September climatology (average highs near 27°C) provides context for the spread. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and next official briefings will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$39Ngày kết thúc
Sep 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent persistent rainfall and cloud cover across Chongqing have suppressed daytime heating, with observed highs mostly in the mid-20s°C through September 21–22 and official forecasts showing continued showers on the 24th that limit peaks to 29–31°C. This pattern, tied to lingering moisture from regional systems, creates genuine uncertainty in the precise maximum, reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds around 25–27°C. Global and regional models diverge on the timing of any clearing or modest warming ahead of the 24th, while September climatology (average highs near 27°C) provides context for the spread. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and next official briefings will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$39Ngày kết thúc
Sep 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent persistent rainfall and cloud cover across Chongqing have suppressed daytime heating, with observed highs mostly in the mid-20s°C through September 21–22 and official forecasts showing continued showers on the 24th that limit peaks to 29–31°C. This pattern, tied to lingering moisture from regional systems, creates genuine uncertainty in the precise maximum, reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds around 25–27°C. Global and regional models diverge on the timing of any clearing or modest warming ahead of the 24th, while September climatology (average highs near 27°C) provides context for the spread. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and next official briefings will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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