**Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Center of China and international outlets converge on a minimum temperature near 22–23°C for Chongqing on September 24, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and light northwest winds.** This places the outcome squarely in the 21–23°C range favored by several market contracts, while the near-even split between “17°C or below” (50%) and “27°C or higher” (49%) reflects residual model spread and the inherent uncertainty of a 48-hour forecast window. Persistent autumnal moisture and cloud cover have suppressed daytime heating and nighttime radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows stable near current values around 21–23°C. Historical September climatology for the region centers on 20–22°C minima, providing context for why traders see limited probability of extremes. The next official update from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and any revised ECMWF or GFS runs ahead of resolution will be the key catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 24?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on September 24?
17°C or below 100%
27°C or higher 98%
22°C 48%
21°C 44%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 24, 2026
17°C or below
100%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
23%
22°C
25%
23°C
40%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C or higher
98%
17°C or below 100%
27°C or higher 98%
22°C 48%
21°C 44%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 24, 2026
17°C or below
$0 KL.
100%
18°C
$0 KL.
39%
19°C
$0 KL.
39%
20°C
$0 KL.
39%
21°C
$7 KL.
23%
22°C
$15 KL.
25%
23°C
$0 KL.
40%
24°C
$0 KL.
39%
25°C
$0 KL.
39%
26°C
$0 KL.
39%
27°C or higher
$0 KL.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Center of China and international outlets converge on a minimum temperature near 22–23°C for Chongqing on September 24, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and light northwest winds.** This places the outcome squarely in the 21–23°C range favored by several market contracts, while the near-even split between “17°C or below” (50%) and “27°C or higher” (49%) reflects residual model spread and the inherent uncertainty of a 48-hour forecast window. Persistent autumnal moisture and cloud cover have suppressed daytime heating and nighttime radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows stable near current values around 21–23°C. Historical September climatology for the region centers on 20–22°C minima, providing context for why traders see limited probability of extremes. The next official update from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and any revised ECMWF or GFS runs ahead of resolution will be the key catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$22Ngày kết thúc
Sep 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Center of China and international outlets converge on a minimum temperature near 22–23°C for Chongqing on September 24, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and light northwest winds.** This places the outcome squarely in the 21–23°C range favored by several market contracts, while the near-even split between “17°C or below” (50%) and “27°C or higher” (49%) reflects residual model spread and the inherent uncertainty of a 48-hour forecast window. Persistent autumnal moisture and cloud cover have suppressed daytime heating and nighttime radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows stable near current values around 21–23°C. Historical September climatology for the region centers on 20–22°C minima, providing context for why traders see limited probability of extremes. The next official update from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and any revised ECMWF or GFS runs ahead of resolution will be the key catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$22Ngày kết thúc
Sep 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Center of China and international outlets converge on a minimum temperature near 22–23°C for Chongqing on September 24, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and light northwest winds.** This places the outcome squarely in the 21–23°C range favored by several market contracts, while the near-even split between “17°C or below” (50%) and “27°C or higher” (49%) reflects residual model spread and the inherent uncertainty of a 48-hour forecast window. Persistent autumnal moisture and cloud cover have suppressed daytime heating and nighttime radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows stable near current values around 21–23°C. Historical September climatology for the region centers on 20–22°C minima, providing context for why traders see limited probability of extremes. The next official update from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and any revised ECMWF or GFS runs ahead of resolution will be the key catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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