**Recent official and model forecasts for Lucknow point to a maximum temperature of 31–33°C on September 11, 2026, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and thunderstorm activity expected to limit daytime heating.** Multiple sources, including WeatherBug (88°F/31°C high with 90% storm chance), Skymet (29°C high with light rain), and The Weather Network (31°C), converge on this range amid active monsoon conditions. Nearby IMD observations from September 9 showed regional highs of 33–35°C, but persistent easterly winds, elevated dew points near 78–79°F, and afternoon convection have kept actual peaks in check. This scientific setup—thick cloud decks reducing solar insolation, evaporative cooling from scattered storms, and steering patterns favoring moisture influx—explains why the market assigns the highest implied probabilities to 32°C (42.5%) and 33°C (23.5%), followed closely by 31°C (18.5%). Traders are pricing in the consensus that rain-cooled conditions will prevent a climb to 34°C or higher while making sub-31°C outcomes less likely. The next key inputs will be updated IMD or NHC-equivalent guidance and real-time station data from Lucknow Airport as the day unfolds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 11?
32°C 45%
33°C 26%
31°C 22%
34°C 6%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
22%
32°C
45%
33°C
26%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 45%
33°C 26%
31°C 22%
34°C 6%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
22%
32°C
45%
33°C
26%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Recent official and model forecasts for Lucknow point to a maximum temperature of 31–33°C on September 11, 2026, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and thunderstorm activity expected to limit daytime heating.** Multiple sources, including WeatherBug (88°F/31°C high with 90% storm chance), Skymet (29°C high with light rain), and The Weather Network (31°C), converge on this range amid active monsoon conditions. Nearby IMD observations from September 9 showed regional highs of 33–35°C, but persistent easterly winds, elevated dew points near 78–79°F, and afternoon convection have kept actual peaks in check. This scientific setup—thick cloud decks reducing solar insolation, evaporative cooling from scattered storms, and steering patterns favoring moisture influx—explains why the market assigns the highest implied probabilities to 32°C (42.5%) and 33°C (23.5%), followed closely by 31°C (18.5%). Traders are pricing in the consensus that rain-cooled conditions will prevent a climb to 34°C or higher while making sub-31°C outcomes less likely. The next key inputs will be updated IMD or NHC-equivalent guidance and real-time station data from Lucknow Airport as the day unfolds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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