Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, show Mexico City's high on September 16 likely reaching 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds, and limited solar heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This setup aligns with the market's leading 25°C outcome at 56% implied probability, as historical September maxima average near 25°C and urban heat island effects or brief afternoon clearing could add 1–2°C. The 26°C bin at 34% reflects residual uncertainty in model consensus on cloud cover and moisture from the ongoing rainy season, while lower probabilities for 27°C+ or sub-24°C outcomes stem from stable steering patterns and minimal convective activity expected through the 24-hour period. Updated model guidance later today will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 16?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 16?
25°C 56%
26°C 29%
24°C 9%
27°C or higher 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 16, 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
9%
25°C
56%
26°C
29%
27°C or higher
5%
25°C 56%
26°C 29%
24°C 9%
27°C or higher 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 16, 2026
17°C or below
$502 KL.
1%
18°C
$302 KL.
1%
19°C
$302 KL.
1%
20°C
$302 KL.
1%
21°C
$235 KL.
1%
22°C
$236 KL.
2%
23°C
$292 KL.
2%
24°C
$654 KL.
9%
25°C
$2,067 KL.
56%
26°C
$1,610 KL.
29%
27°C or higher
$244 KL.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, show Mexico City's high on September 16 likely reaching 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds, and limited solar heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This setup aligns with the market's leading 25°C outcome at 56% implied probability, as historical September maxima average near 25°C and urban heat island effects or brief afternoon clearing could add 1–2°C. The 26°C bin at 34% reflects residual uncertainty in model consensus on cloud cover and moisture from the ongoing rainy season, while lower probabilities for 27°C+ or sub-24°C outcomes stem from stable steering patterns and minimal convective activity expected through the 24-hour period. Updated model guidance later today will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$6,747Ngày kết thúc
Sep 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, show Mexico City's high on September 16 likely reaching 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds, and limited solar heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This setup aligns with the market's leading 25°C outcome at 56% implied probability, as historical September maxima average near 25°C and urban heat island effects or brief afternoon clearing could add 1–2°C. The 26°C bin at 34% reflects residual uncertainty in model consensus on cloud cover and moisture from the ongoing rainy season, while lower probabilities for 27°C+ or sub-24°C outcomes stem from stable steering patterns and minimal convective activity expected through the 24-hour period. Updated model guidance later today will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$6,747Ngày kết thúc
Sep 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, show Mexico City's high on September 16 likely reaching 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds, and limited solar heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. This setup aligns with the market's leading 25°C outcome at 56% implied probability, as historical September maxima average near 25°C and urban heat island effects or brief afternoon clearing could add 1–2°C. The 26°C bin at 34% reflects residual uncertainty in model consensus on cloud cover and moisture from the ongoing rainy season, while lower probabilities for 27°C+ or sub-24°C outcomes stem from stable steering patterns and minimal convective activity expected through the 24-hour period. Updated model guidance later today will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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