Current forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA’s GFS indicate a highest temperature near 23–24°C in Amsterdam on September 15, driven by moderate southwesterly flow under partly to mostly cloudy skies that limit strong diurnal heating while keeping minimums around 16–17°C. This consensus, with low precipitation chances below 25% and winds near 10–15 km/h, aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 24°C at 51% implied probability and 23°C at 29.5%, well above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.3°C for the date. Updated model runs overnight have shown little deviation, supporting trader positioning ahead of final observational data from Schiphol.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 15?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 15?
24°C 51%
23°C 34%
25°C 10%
22°C 5%
MỚI
$11,953 KL.
MỚI
$11,953 KL.
Sep 15, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
34%
24°C
51%
25°C
10%
26°C
4%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 51%
23°C 34%
25°C 10%
22°C 5%
MỚI
$11,953 KL.
MỚI
$11,953 KL.
Sep 15, 2026
19°C or below
$266 KL.
<1%
20°C
$349 KL.
1%
21°C
$723 KL.
2%
22°C
$739 KL.
5%
23°C
$3,426 KL.
34%
24°C
$1,859 KL.
51%
25°C
$2,755 KL.
10%
26°C
$1,227 KL.
4%
27°C
$228 KL.
<1%
28°C
$208 KL.
<1%
29°C or higher
$208 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA’s GFS indicate a highest temperature near 23–24°C in Amsterdam on September 15, driven by moderate southwesterly flow under partly to mostly cloudy skies that limit strong diurnal heating while keeping minimums around 16–17°C. This consensus, with low precipitation chances below 25% and winds near 10–15 km/h, aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 24°C at 51% implied probability and 23°C at 29.5%, well above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.3°C for the date. Updated model runs overnight have shown little deviation, supporting trader positioning ahead of final observational data from Schiphol.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Khối lượng
$11,953Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA’s GFS indicate a highest temperature near 23–24°C in Amsterdam on September 15, driven by moderate southwesterly flow under partly to mostly cloudy skies that limit strong diurnal heating while keeping minimums around 16–17°C. This consensus, with low precipitation chances below 25% and winds near 10–15 km/h, aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 24°C at 51% implied probability and 23°C at 29.5%, well above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.3°C for the date. Updated model runs overnight have shown little deviation, supporting trader positioning ahead of final observational data from Schiphol.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$11,953Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and NOAA’s GFS indicate a highest temperature near 23–24°C in Amsterdam on September 15, driven by moderate southwesterly flow under partly to mostly cloudy skies that limit strong diurnal heating while keeping minimums around 16–17°C. This consensus, with low precipitation chances below 25% and winds near 10–15 km/h, aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 24°C at 51% implied probability and 23°C at 29.5%, well above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.3°C for the date. Updated model runs overnight have shown little deviation, supporting trader positioning ahead of final observational data from Schiphol.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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