Seattle's overnight low on September 16 is expected near the long-term average of 53°F under clear skies and light northerly winds, supporting the leading 54-55°F market-implied outcome. Radiational cooling under high pressure and low humidity typically allows temperatures to drop several degrees below the daytime high of 71-74°F, with dew points in the low 50s limiting further decline. Model consensus from NOAA and local observations shows minimal cloud cover or onshore flow that could blunt cooling, though variable winds or residual moisture could keep readings in the upper 50s. Traders price significant probability on both warmer and cooler extremes because the exact minimum hinges on precise timing of wind shifts and boundary-layer mixing before dawn. Historical September lows cluster tightly around this range absent major synoptic changes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Seattle on September 16?
45°F or below 54%
64°F or higher 54%
52-53°F 40%
54-55°F 40%
45°F or below
54%
46-47°F
4%
48-49°F
20%
50-51°F
21%
52-53°F
29%
54-55°F
35%
56-57°F
17%
58-59°F
38%
60-61°F
10%
62-63°F
10%
64°F or higher
54%
45°F or below 54%
64°F or higher 54%
52-53°F 40%
54-55°F 40%
45°F or below
54%
46-47°F
4%
48-49°F
20%
50-51°F
21%
52-53°F
29%
54-55°F
35%
56-57°F
17%
58-59°F
38%
60-61°F
10%
62-63°F
10%
64°F or higher
54%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 14, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Seattle's overnight low on September 16 is expected near the long-term average of 53°F under clear skies and light northerly winds, supporting the leading 54-55°F market-implied outcome. Radiational cooling under high pressure and low humidity typically allows temperatures to drop several degrees below the daytime high of 71-74°F, with dew points in the low 50s limiting further decline. Model consensus from NOAA and local observations shows minimal cloud cover or onshore flow that could blunt cooling, though variable winds or residual moisture could keep readings in the upper 50s. Traders price significant probability on both warmer and cooler extremes because the exact minimum hinges on precise timing of wind shifts and boundary-layer mixing before dawn. Historical September lows cluster tightly around this range absent major synoptic changes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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