Latest National Weather Service and ensemble guidance for Miami on July 31 points to a high near 92–94°F beneath a persistent subtropical ridge, with typical July humidity fueling scattered afternoon thunderstorms that often limit peak readings. This forecast consensus underpins the market’s leading 94–95°F outcome at 45% implied probability, followed by 92–93°F at 20%, as traders weigh modest warming potential against convective capping. Historical July averages hover near 89–91°F, so current model runs show slightly above-normal conditions without extreme heat signals. Updated short-range forecasts and any shifts in ridge strength or storm timing ahead of the daily maximum will be the key variables influencing final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Miami on July 31?
94-95°F 49%
92-93°F 24%
96-97°F 23%
98-99°F 6%
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
24%
94-95°F
49%
96-97°F
23%
98-99°F
6%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
1%
106°F or higher
1%
94-95°F 49%
92-93°F 24%
96-97°F 23%
98-99°F 6%
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
24%
94-95°F
49%
96-97°F
23%
98-99°F
6%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
1%
106°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and ensemble guidance for Miami on July 31 points to a high near 92–94°F beneath a persistent subtropical ridge, with typical July humidity fueling scattered afternoon thunderstorms that often limit peak readings. This forecast consensus underpins the market’s leading 94–95°F outcome at 45% implied probability, followed by 92–93°F at 20%, as traders weigh modest warming potential against convective capping. Historical July averages hover near 89–91°F, so current model runs show slightly above-normal conditions without extreme heat signals. Updated short-range forecasts and any shifts in ridge strength or storm timing ahead of the daily maximum will be the key variables influencing final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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