**Forecast models and official guidance from sources like the National Weather Service indicate a high near 71–72°F for Seattle on August 28, 2026, with morning marine-layer clouds giving way to mostly sunny conditions and light southwesterly winds.** This setup, driven by a stable Pacific high-pressure ridge and typical late-summer onshore flow, keeps temperatures slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 75°F while limiting afternoon heating. Recent model runs show strong consensus around this range, with minimal spread in guidance and only a low chance of showers developing after peak heating. The 72–73°F bin therefore commands the highest market-implied probability (57%), reflecting traders’ aggregation of these convergent forecasts, real-time observations, and the narrow resolution window for the day’s official maximum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seattle on August 28?
72-73°F 60%
70-71°F 26%
74-75°F 13%
68-69°F 4%
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
60%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 60%
70-71°F 26%
74-75°F 13%
68-69°F 4%
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
60%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official guidance from sources like the National Weather Service indicate a high near 71–72°F for Seattle on August 28, 2026, with morning marine-layer clouds giving way to mostly sunny conditions and light southwesterly winds.** This setup, driven by a stable Pacific high-pressure ridge and typical late-summer onshore flow, keeps temperatures slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 75°F while limiting afternoon heating. Recent model runs show strong consensus around this range, with minimal spread in guidance and only a low chance of showers developing after peak heating. The 72–73°F bin therefore commands the highest market-implied probability (57%), reflecting traders’ aggregation of these convergent forecasts, real-time observations, and the narrow resolution window for the day’s official maximum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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