Kerala Legislative Assembly elections concluded on April 9, 2026, with a high 78% turnout across 140 seats, as traders price a razor-thin CPI(M)-led LDF victory at 54.5% against INC-led UDF at 45.5%, mirroring pre-poll surveys projecting both alliances near the 71-seat majority in a potential hung assembly. Anti-incumbency after two LDF terms—driven by unemployment, rising prices, and governance critiques—has fueled UDF momentum from its 2025 local body gains, while LDF's welfare schemes, organizational strength, and Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan's enduring appeal sustain its edge. BJP-led NDA's rising 12-17% vote share introduces vote splits in 15-20 triangular battlegrounds like Thrissur and Nemom. Results on May 4 could separate frontrunners via swings in swing seats or post-poll coalitions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtKerala Legislative Assembly Election Winner
Kerala Legislative Assembly Election Winner
CPI(M) 55%
INC 45%
BJP <1%
BSP <1%
$289,085 KL.
$289,085 KL.
Apr 9, 2026
CPI(M)
55%
INC
45%
BJP
1%
BSP
<1%
CPI
<1%
JD(S)
<1%
RSP
<1%
KEC(M)
<1%
NCP
<1%
IUML
<1%
CPI(M) 55%
INC 45%
BJP <1%
BSP <1%
$289,085 KL.
$289,085 KL.
Apr 9, 2026
CPI(M)
$36,066 KL.
55%
INC
$35,015 KL.
45%
BJP
$61,565 KL.
1%
BSP
$13,303 KL.
<1%
CPI
$29,090 KL.
<1%
JD(S)
$24,409 KL.
<1%
RSP
$14,096 KL.
<1%
KEC(M)
$13,616 KL.
<1%
NCP
$46,982 KL.
<1%
IUML
$14,943 KL.
<1%
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Kerala Legislative Assembly elections concluded on April 9, 2026, with a high 78% turnout across 140 seats, as traders price a razor-thin CPI(M)-led LDF victory at 54.5% against INC-led UDF at 45.5%, mirroring pre-poll surveys projecting both alliances near the 71-seat majority in a potential hung assembly. Anti-incumbency after two LDF terms—driven by unemployment, rising prices, and governance critiques—has fueled UDF momentum from its 2025 local body gains, while LDF's welfare schemes, organizational strength, and Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan's enduring appeal sustain its edge. BJP-led NDA's rising 12-17% vote share introduces vote splits in 15-20 triangular battlegrounds like Thrissur and Nemom. Results on May 4 could separate frontrunners via swings in swing seats or post-poll coalitions.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Thị trường mở: Dec 23, 2025, 4:01 PM ET
Khối lượng
$289,085Ngày kết thúc
Apr 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 23, 2025, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Kerala Legislative Assembly elections concluded on April 9, 2026, with a high 78% turnout across 140 seats, as traders price a razor-thin CPI(M)-led LDF victory at 54.5% against INC-led UDF at 45.5%, mirroring pre-poll surveys projecting both alliances near the 71-seat majority in a potential hung assembly. Anti-incumbency after two LDF terms—driven by unemployment, rising prices, and governance critiques—has fueled UDF momentum from its 2025 local body gains, while LDF's welfare schemes, organizational strength, and Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan's enduring appeal sustain its edge. BJP-led NDA's rising 12-17% vote share introduces vote splits in 15-20 triangular battlegrounds like Thrissur and Nemom. Results on May 4 could separate frontrunners via swings in swing seats or post-poll coalitions.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Khối lượng
$289,085Ngày kết thúc
Apr 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 23, 2025, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kerala Legislative Assembly elections concluded on April 9, 2026, with a high 78% turnout across 140 seats, as traders price a razor-thin CPI(M)-led LDF victory at 54.5% against INC-led UDF at 45.5%, mirroring pre-poll surveys projecting both alliances near the 71-seat majority in a potential hung assembly. Anti-incumbency after two LDF terms—driven by unemployment, rising prices, and governance critiques—has fueled UDF momentum from its 2025 local body gains, while LDF's welfare schemes, organizational strength, and Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan's enduring appeal sustain its edge. BJP-led NDA's rising 12-17% vote share introduces vote splits in 15-20 triangular battlegrounds like Thrissur and Nemom. Results on May 4 could separate frontrunners via swings in swing seats or post-poll coalitions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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