Vote counting on May 4 for the Kerala Legislative Assembly election, held April 9 with 79.7% turnout, confirms the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) securing a decisive majority of 102 seats out of 140, including 63 for INC, ousting the incumbent Left Democratic Front (LDF) after two terms. This shift reflects strong anti-incumbency against LDF Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan's government amid governance critiques, bolstered by UDF's "Puthuyuga Yathra" campaign and exit polls predicting 82-94 UDF seats. Trader consensus prices INC at 100% as the election winner, embodying UDF's path to forming the next majority government. Realistic challenges are minimal—only unprecedented legal disputes, recounts, or defections could alter outcomes, though clear margins make this improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtKerala Legislative Assembly Election Winner
Kerala Legislative Assembly Election Winner
INC 100.0%
BSP <1%
CPI <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$472,181 KL.
$472,181 KL.
Apr 9, 2026
BSP
No
INC
Yes
CPI
No
CPI(M)
No
JD(S)
No
RSP
No
KEC(M)
No
BJP
No
NCP
No
IUML
No
INC 100.0%
BSP <1%
CPI <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$472,181 KL.
$472,181 KL.
Apr 9, 2026
BSP
$20,219 KL.
No
INC
$109,121 KL.
Yes
CPI
$38,089 KL.
No
CPI(M)
$100,816 KL.
No
JD(S)
$26,669 KL.
No
RSP
$17,062 KL.
No
KEC(M)
$16,092 KL.
No
BJP
$72,214 KL.
No
NCP
$51,260 KL.
No
IUML
$20,639 KL.
No
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Vote counting on May 4 for the Kerala Legislative Assembly election, held April 9 with 79.7% turnout, confirms the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) securing a decisive majority of 102 seats out of 140, including 63 for INC, ousting the incumbent Left Democratic Front (LDF) after two terms. This shift reflects strong anti-incumbency against LDF Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan's government amid governance critiques, bolstered by UDF's "Puthuyuga Yathra" campaign and exit polls predicting 82-94 UDF seats. Trader consensus prices INC at 100% as the election winner, embodying UDF's path to forming the next majority government. Realistic challenges are minimal—only unprecedented legal disputes, recounts, or defections could alter outcomes, though clear margins make this improbable.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Thị trường mở: Dec 23, 2025, 4:01 PM ET
Khối lượng
$472,181Ngày kết thúc
Apr 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 23, 2025, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Vote counting on May 4 for the Kerala Legislative Assembly election, held April 9 with 79.7% turnout, confirms the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) securing a decisive majority of 102 seats out of 140, including 63 for INC, ousting the incumbent Left Democratic Front (LDF) after two terms. This shift reflects strong anti-incumbency against LDF Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan's government amid governance critiques, bolstered by UDF's "Puthuyuga Yathra" campaign and exit polls predicting 82-94 UDF seats. Trader consensus prices INC at 100% as the election winner, embodying UDF's path to forming the next majority government. Realistic challenges are minimal—only unprecedented legal disputes, recounts, or defections could alter outcomes, though clear margins make this improbable.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Khối lượng
$472,181Ngày kết thúc
Apr 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 23, 2025, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Vote counting on May 4 for the Kerala Legislative Assembly election, held April 9 with 79.7% turnout, confirms the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) securing a decisive majority of 102 seats out of 140, including 63 for INC, ousting the incumbent Left Democratic Front (LDF) after two terms. This shift reflects strong anti-incumbency against LDF Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan's government amid governance critiques, bolstered by UDF's "Puthuyuga Yathra" campaign and exit polls predicting 82-94 UDF seats. Trader consensus prices INC at 100% as the election winner, embodying UDF's path to forming the next majority government. Realistic challenges are minimal—only unprecedented legal disputes, recounts, or defections could alter outcomes, though clear margins make this improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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