**Persistent mild, humid southwesterly flow and widespread cloud/rain cover are keeping overnight lows elevated for Amsterdam on August 30.** Latest model guidance and official forecasts (Met Office, GFS-based sources) point to a nighttime minimum of 16–17°C under mostly cloudy skies, light rain or showers, and winds of 12–17 mph from the southwest. This setup limits radiative cooling and maintains higher dew points, preventing the sharper drops typical under clear, calm conditions. August 2026 has run roughly 1.6°C above the long-term monthly average, with recent overnight lows in the 15–16°C range. Traders have therefore concentrated implied probability on 16–18°C (combined ~89% across the top three outcomes), reflecting the consensus that the current synoptic pattern will hold through the night rather than allowing temperatures to approach the historical average low of 12.5°C. Minor model spread in exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts accounts for the tight clustering around these values, with resolution depending on the final observed minimum at the official station.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 30?
17°C 34%
16°C 28%
18°C 28%
13°C or below 15%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 30, 2026
13°C or below
15%
14°C
8%
15°C
10%
16°C
28%
17°C
34%
18°C
28%
19°C
9%
20°C
3%
21°C
8%
22°C
8%
23°C or higher
11%
17°C 34%
16°C 28%
18°C 28%
13°C or below 15%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 30, 2026
13°C or below
$10 KL.
15%
14°C
$0 KL.
8%
15°C
$0 KL.
10%
16°C
$0 KL.
28%
17°C
$0 KL.
34%
18°C
$0 KL.
28%
19°C
$0 KL.
9%
20°C
$20 KL.
3%
21°C
$10 KL.
8%
22°C
$5 KL.
8%
23°C or higher
$5 KL.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent mild, humid southwesterly flow and widespread cloud/rain cover are keeping overnight lows elevated for Amsterdam on August 30.** Latest model guidance and official forecasts (Met Office, GFS-based sources) point to a nighttime minimum of 16–17°C under mostly cloudy skies, light rain or showers, and winds of 12–17 mph from the southwest. This setup limits radiative cooling and maintains higher dew points, preventing the sharper drops typical under clear, calm conditions.
August 2026 has run roughly 1.6°C above the long-term monthly average, with recent overnight lows in the 15–16°C range. Traders have therefore concentrated implied probability on 16–18°C (combined ~89% across the top three outcomes), reflecting the consensus that the current synoptic pattern will hold through the night rather than allowing temperatures to approach the historical average low of 12.5°C. Minor model spread in exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts accounts for the tight clustering around these values, with resolution depending on the final observed minimum at the official station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$50Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent mild, humid southwesterly flow and widespread cloud/rain cover are keeping overnight lows elevated for Amsterdam on August 30.** Latest model guidance and official forecasts (Met Office, GFS-based sources) point to a nighttime minimum of 16–17°C under mostly cloudy skies, light rain or showers, and winds of 12–17 mph from the southwest. This setup limits radiative cooling and maintains higher dew points, preventing the sharper drops typical under clear, calm conditions.
August 2026 has run roughly 1.6°C above the long-term monthly average, with recent overnight lows in the 15–16°C range. Traders have therefore concentrated implied probability on 16–18°C (combined ~89% across the top three outcomes), reflecting the consensus that the current synoptic pattern will hold through the night rather than allowing temperatures to approach the historical average low of 12.5°C. Minor model spread in exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts accounts for the tight clustering around these values, with resolution depending on the final observed minimum at the official station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$50Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent mild, humid southwesterly flow and widespread cloud/rain cover are keeping overnight lows elevated for Amsterdam on August 30.** Latest model guidance and official forecasts (Met Office, GFS-based sources) point to a nighttime minimum of 16–17°C under mostly cloudy skies, light rain or showers, and winds of 12–17 mph from the southwest. This setup limits radiative cooling and maintains higher dew points, preventing the sharper drops typical under clear, calm conditions. August 2026 has run roughly 1.6°C above the long-term monthly average, with recent overnight lows in the 15–16°C range. Traders have therefore concentrated implied probability on 16–18°C (combined ~89% across the top three outcomes), reflecting the consensus that the current synoptic pattern will hold through the night rather than allowing temperatures to approach the historical average low of 12.5°C. Minor model spread in exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts accounts for the tight clustering around these values, with resolution depending on the final observed minimum at the official station.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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