Recent forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models indicate overnight lows in Ankara of 13–14°C on August 29, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly winds that limit radiative cooling. Ankara’s inland plateau location at roughly 900 m elevation typically supports nocturnal temperature drops, yet the day’s unsettled conditions and moderate humidity are suppressing further cooling below these levels. Historical August minima average near 16°C, making the current pattern notably cooler. Traders appear to weigh official guidance and model consensus heavily, with implied probabilities concentrated on 13–14°C reflecting the narrow forecast range and limited downside risk from additional rain or clearer skies.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Ankara on August 29?
14°C 54%
9°C or below 2%
10°C 2%
12°C 2%
9°C or below
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
-
12°C
2%
13°C
35%
14°C
54%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 54%
9°C or below 2%
10°C 2%
12°C 2%
9°C or below
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
-
12°C
2%
13°C
35%
14°C
54%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models indicate overnight lows in Ankara of 13–14°C on August 29, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly winds that limit radiative cooling. Ankara’s inland plateau location at roughly 900 m elevation typically supports nocturnal temperature drops, yet the day’s unsettled conditions and moderate humidity are suppressing further cooling below these levels. Historical August minima average near 16°C, making the current pattern notably cooler. Traders appear to weigh official guidance and model consensus heavily, with implied probabilities concentrated on 13–14°C reflecting the narrow forecast range and limited downside risk from additional rain or clearer skies.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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