Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models point to a Beijing minimum near 18–19 °C on September 17 under southerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. This places the outcome near the center of the tightly bunched market probabilities, where 17 °C, 18 °C, and nearby bins each carry roughly one-quarter implied probability. Differentiation among these bins hinges on small variations in low-level moisture, wind speed after sunset, and the precise timing of any thin cloud deck, all of which can shift the overnight low by 1–2 °C. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and updated high-resolution runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range before the market resolves.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Beijing on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 17?
24°C or higher 43%
16°C 40%
21°C 39%
22°C 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 17, 2026
14°C or below
36%
15°C
27%
16°C
40%
17°C
27%
18°C
25%
19°C
12%
20°C
11%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C or higher
43%
24°C or higher 43%
16°C 40%
21°C 39%
22°C 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 17, 2026
14°C or below
$0 KL.
36%
15°C
$0 KL.
27%
16°C
$0 KL.
40%
17°C
$0 KL.
27%
18°C
$0 KL.
25%
19°C
$98 KL.
12%
20°C
$132 KL.
11%
21°C
$0 KL.
39%
22°C
$0 KL.
39%
23°C
$0 KL.
39%
24°C or higher
$0 KL.
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models point to a Beijing minimum near 18–19 °C on September 17 under southerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. This places the outcome near the center of the tightly bunched market probabilities, where 17 °C, 18 °C, and nearby bins each carry roughly one-quarter implied probability. Differentiation among these bins hinges on small variations in low-level moisture, wind speed after sunset, and the precise timing of any thin cloud deck, all of which can shift the overnight low by 1–2 °C. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and updated high-resolution runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$230Ngày kết thúc
Sep 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models point to a Beijing minimum near 18–19 °C on September 17 under southerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. This places the outcome near the center of the tightly bunched market probabilities, where 17 °C, 18 °C, and nearby bins each carry roughly one-quarter implied probability. Differentiation among these bins hinges on small variations in low-level moisture, wind speed after sunset, and the precise timing of any thin cloud deck, all of which can shift the overnight low by 1–2 °C. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and updated high-resolution runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$230Ngày kết thúc
Sep 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models point to a Beijing minimum near 18–19 °C on September 17 under southerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. This places the outcome near the center of the tightly bunched market probabilities, where 17 °C, 18 °C, and nearby bins each carry roughly one-quarter implied probability. Differentiation among these bins hinges on small variations in low-level moisture, wind speed after sunset, and the precise timing of any thin cloud deck, all of which can shift the overnight low by 1–2 °C. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and updated high-resolution runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range before the market resolves.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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