Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and KMA indicate Busan overnight lows around 24–27°C on August 25 amid persistent warm, humid air masses and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling. High humidity near 75–85% reduces radiative heat loss, while the coastal location and urban heat island effect anchor minimums well above historical averages near 24°C but below peak summer extremes. Clear skies may allow modest drops, yet steering patterns and sea surface temperatures near 28°C support the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 25°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine the precise threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Busan on August 25?
20°C or below 96%
30°C or higher 95%
21°C 84%
25°C 46%
20°C or below
96%
21°C
84%
22°C
25%
23°C
43%
24°C
43%
25°C
46%
26°C
46%
27°C
44%
28°C
43%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
95%
20°C or below 96%
30°C or higher 95%
21°C 84%
25°C 46%
20°C or below
96%
21°C
84%
22°C
25%
23°C
43%
24°C
43%
25°C
46%
26°C
46%
27°C
44%
28°C
43%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
95%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and KMA indicate Busan overnight lows around 24–27°C on August 25 amid persistent warm, humid air masses and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling. High humidity near 75–85% reduces radiative heat loss, while the coastal location and urban heat island effect anchor minimums well above historical averages near 24°C but below peak summer extremes. Clear skies may allow modest drops, yet steering patterns and sea surface temperatures near 28°C support the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 25°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine the precise threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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