Recent forecasts from multiple models project overnight lows of 11–13°C for Cape Town on August 29, driven by moderate southerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and limited cold-air advection from the Atlantic rather than a strong winter cold front. These conditions contrast with earlier August outbreaks that produced sharper drops and support the market’s clustering of implied probability around 10–12°C outcomes. Southerly flow and high humidity are expected to moderate radiative cooling overnight, while any light rain or drizzle would further stabilize temperatures near the surface. Official SAWS and international model runs scheduled for the next 12–24 hours will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Cape Town on August 29?
7°C or below 40%
11°C 27%
12°C 27%
10°C 27%
7°C or below
40%
8°C
8%
9°C
10%
10°C
27%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
25%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
4%
7°C or below 40%
11°C 27%
12°C 27%
10°C 27%
7°C or below
40%
8°C
8%
9°C
10%
10°C
27%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
25%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models project overnight lows of 11–13°C for Cape Town on August 29, driven by moderate southerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and limited cold-air advection from the Atlantic rather than a strong winter cold front. These conditions contrast with earlier August outbreaks that produced sharper drops and support the market’s clustering of implied probability around 10–12°C outcomes. Southerly flow and high humidity are expected to moderate radiative cooling overnight, while any light rain or drizzle would further stabilize temperatures near the surface. Official SAWS and international model runs scheduled for the next 12–24 hours will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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