Recent heavy rainfall and northerly cold air advection are driving trader expectations for Chongqing's August 29 minimum, with official forecasts showing overnight lows clustering near 22–26 °C under persistent cloud cover and precipitation. Model consensus from agencies such as the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau indicates that enhanced cloudiness and evaporative cooling from 30–80 mm of rain will limit nighttime radiative losses, while variable wind speeds and exact rainfall timing introduce spread across the 21–25 °C range. Historical late-August baselines near 26 °C underscore the anomaly created by this frontal passage, leaving traders weighing modest differences in forecast resolution criteria and local topographic effects that differentiate the closely matched leading outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Chongqing on August 29?
19°C or below 83%
21°C 45%
24°C 45%
25°C 43%
19°C or below
83%
20°C
41%
21°C
45%
22°C
26%
23°C
27%
24°C
45%
25°C
43%
26°C
6%
27°C
6%
28°C
10%
29°C or higher
15%
19°C or below 83%
21°C 45%
24°C 45%
25°C 43%
19°C or below
83%
20°C
41%
21°C
45%
22°C
26%
23°C
27%
24°C
45%
25°C
43%
26°C
6%
27°C
6%
28°C
10%
29°C or higher
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy rainfall and northerly cold air advection are driving trader expectations for Chongqing's August 29 minimum, with official forecasts showing overnight lows clustering near 22–26 °C under persistent cloud cover and precipitation. Model consensus from agencies such as the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau indicates that enhanced cloudiness and evaporative cooling from 30–80 mm of rain will limit nighttime radiative losses, while variable wind speeds and exact rainfall timing introduce spread across the 21–25 °C range. Historical late-August baselines near 26 °C underscore the anomaly created by this frontal passage, leaving traders weighing modest differences in forecast resolution criteria and local topographic effects that differentiate the closely matched leading outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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