Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Finnish Meteorological Institute models indicate overnight lows near 11–12°C for Helsinki on August 25, with daytime maxima around 19°C under partly cloudy conditions. Trader sentiment reflects substantial ensemble spread driven by uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer winds: clearer skies would enhance radiative cooling and favor minima of 7°C or below, while increased northerly flow or marine influence from the Baltic Sea could hold temperatures closer to 11–13°C. Climatological baselines show late-August minima typically declining toward 9–10°C, yet current model runs exhibit notable divergence on timing of any high-pressure ridge. Updated short-range guidance and next ECMWF cycle will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Helsinki on August 25?
14°C 86%
17°C or higher 48%
7°C or below 47%
12°C 44%
7°C or below
47%
8°C
23%
9°C
25%
10°C
25%
11°C
26%
12°C
44%
13°C
44%
14°C
86%
15°C
2%
16°C
8%
17°C or higher
48%
14°C 86%
17°C or higher 48%
7°C or below 47%
12°C 44%
7°C or below
47%
8°C
23%
9°C
25%
10°C
25%
11°C
26%
12°C
44%
13°C
44%
14°C
86%
15°C
2%
16°C
8%
17°C or higher
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Finnish Meteorological Institute models indicate overnight lows near 11–12°C for Helsinki on August 25, with daytime maxima around 19°C under partly cloudy conditions. Trader sentiment reflects substantial ensemble spread driven by uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer winds: clearer skies would enhance radiative cooling and favor minima of 7°C or below, while increased northerly flow or marine influence from the Baltic Sea could hold temperatures closer to 11–13°C. Climatological baselines show late-August minima typically declining toward 9–10°C, yet current model runs exhibit notable divergence on timing of any high-pressure ridge. Updated short-range guidance and next ECMWF cycle will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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