**Current forecasts from sources including the Shandong Meteorological Bureau and international models indicate a minimum temperature for Jinan on September 20 near 21–23°C under mostly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and moderate humidity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling.** This setup favors the market's leading 19°C outcome at 55% implied probability, as traders incorporate slight downward revisions possible from urban measurement stations or localized variations in cloud cover. The notable 45% weighting on 12°C or below reflects hedging against model spread or unexpected frontal influences, though official guidance shows little support for such drops given the current warm advection pattern and absence of significant precipitation or strong cooling mechanisms. Upcoming evening observations and final daily minimum readings will resolve the market, with historical September baselines for the region typically ranging 16–20°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Jinan on September 20?
15°C 13%
12°C or below 1.0%
13°C 1.0%
14°C 1.0%
$729 KL.
$729 KL.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
15°C 13%
12°C or below 1.0%
13°C 1.0%
14°C 1.0%
$729 KL.
$729 KL.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
**Current forecasts from sources including the Shandong Meteorological Bureau and international models indicate a minimum temperature for Jinan on September 20 near 21–23°C under mostly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and moderate humidity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling.** This setup favors the market's leading 19°C outcome at 55% implied probability, as traders incorporate slight downward revisions possible from urban measurement stations or localized variations in cloud cover. The notable 45% weighting on 12°C or below reflects hedging against model spread or unexpected frontal influences, though official guidance shows little support for such drops given the current warm advection pattern and absence of significant precipitation or strong cooling mechanisms. Upcoming evening observations and final daily minimum readings will resolve the market, with historical September baselines for the region typically ranging 16–20°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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