Persistent southwest monsoon flow and associated cloud cover are keeping Manila's overnight minima elevated ahead of August 29, with official PAGASA and model guidance showing lows near 26°C amid widespread thunderstorms and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds. High humidity near 90% and minimal radiative cooling under overcast skies limit temperature drops, while historical August averages place typical lows at 25–26°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 24–27°C outcomes because small forecast shifts in cloud thickness, wind speed, or rainfall timing can alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C; stronger monsoon surges or brief clear spells remain the key variables that could push readings lower or hold them higher. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Manila on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Manila on August 29?
31°C or higher 81%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
25°C 29%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 29, 2026
21°C or below
12%
22°C
8%
23°C
25%
24°C
27%
25°C
29%
26°C
27%
27°C
26%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
81%
31°C or higher 81%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
25°C 29%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 29, 2026
21°C or below
$135 KL.
12%
22°C
$54 KL.
8%
23°C
$34 KL.
25%
24°C
$0 KL.
27%
25°C
$0 KL.
29%
26°C
$0 KL.
27%
27°C
$0 KL.
26%
28°C
$5 KL.
49%
29°C
$5 KL.
49%
30°C
$5 KL.
2%
31°C or higher
$5 KL.
81%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow and associated cloud cover are keeping Manila's overnight minima elevated ahead of August 29, with official PAGASA and model guidance showing lows near 26°C amid widespread thunderstorms and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds. High humidity near 90% and minimal radiative cooling under overcast skies limit temperature drops, while historical August averages place typical lows at 25–26°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 24–27°C outcomes because small forecast shifts in cloud thickness, wind speed, or rainfall timing can alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C; stronger monsoon surges or brief clear spells remain the key variables that could push readings lower or hold them higher. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Khối lượng
$243Ngày kết thúc
Aug 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 12:32 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow and associated cloud cover are keeping Manila's overnight minima elevated ahead of August 29, with official PAGASA and model guidance showing lows near 26°C amid widespread thunderstorms and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds. High humidity near 90% and minimal radiative cooling under overcast skies limit temperature drops, while historical August averages place typical lows at 25–26°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 24–27°C outcomes because small forecast shifts in cloud thickness, wind speed, or rainfall timing can alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C; stronger monsoon surges or brief clear spells remain the key variables that could push readings lower or hold them higher. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$243Ngày kết thúc
Aug 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 12:32 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon flow and associated cloud cover are keeping Manila's overnight minima elevated ahead of August 29, with official PAGASA and model guidance showing lows near 26°C amid widespread thunderstorms and moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds. High humidity near 90% and minimal radiative cooling under overcast skies limit temperature drops, while historical August averages place typical lows at 25–26°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 24–27°C outcomes because small forecast shifts in cloud thickness, wind speed, or rainfall timing can alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C; stronger monsoon surges or brief clear spells remain the key variables that could push readings lower or hold them higher. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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