Current NWS and model guidance for Miami indicate overnight lows near 81°F for August 12, driven by elevated sea-surface temperatures sustaining high dew points around 75°F and limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under light easterly flow from the Bermuda High. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 78–83°F because small differences in forecast cloud cover, scattered thunderstorm timing, or boundary-layer mixing can shift minimum temperatures by 2–4°F. Clear, calm conditions would favor the lower bins via enhanced longwave radiation loss, while increased humidity or residual convection would suppress cooling toward the 82–83°F range. Historical August climatology shows typical minima of 78°F, providing context for the narrow spread amid ongoing warm advection and minimal tropical influence. Updated model runs tonight will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Miami on August 12?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 12?
80-81°F 35%
78-79°F 24%
82-83°F 16%
84-85°F 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 12, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
35%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 35%
78-79°F 24%
82-83°F 16%
84-85°F 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 12, 2026
71°F or below
$12 KL.
<1%
72-73°F
$25 KL.
2%
74-75°F
$14 KL.
3%
76-77°F
$1 KL.
5%
78-79°F
$0 KL.
24%
80-81°F
$0 KL.
35%
82-83°F
$27 KL.
25%
84-85°F
$0 KL.
6%
86-87°F
$33 KL.
2%
88-89°F
$12 KL.
1%
90°F or higher
$12 KL.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current NWS and model guidance for Miami indicate overnight lows near 81°F for August 12, driven by elevated sea-surface temperatures sustaining high dew points around 75°F and limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under light easterly flow from the Bermuda High. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 78–83°F because small differences in forecast cloud cover, scattered thunderstorm timing, or boundary-layer mixing can shift minimum temperatures by 2–4°F. Clear, calm conditions would favor the lower bins via enhanced longwave radiation loss, while increased humidity or residual convection would suppress cooling toward the 82–83°F range. Historical August climatology shows typical minima of 78°F, providing context for the narrow spread amid ongoing warm advection and minimal tropical influence. Updated model runs tonight will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$136Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current NWS and model guidance for Miami indicate overnight lows near 81°F for August 12, driven by elevated sea-surface temperatures sustaining high dew points around 75°F and limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under light easterly flow from the Bermuda High. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 78–83°F because small differences in forecast cloud cover, scattered thunderstorm timing, or boundary-layer mixing can shift minimum temperatures by 2–4°F. Clear, calm conditions would favor the lower bins via enhanced longwave radiation loss, while increased humidity or residual convection would suppress cooling toward the 82–83°F range. Historical August climatology shows typical minima of 78°F, providing context for the narrow spread amid ongoing warm advection and minimal tropical influence. Updated model runs tonight will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$136Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current NWS and model guidance for Miami indicate overnight lows near 81°F for August 12, driven by elevated sea-surface temperatures sustaining high dew points around 75°F and limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under light easterly flow from the Bermuda High. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 78–83°F because small differences in forecast cloud cover, scattered thunderstorm timing, or boundary-layer mixing can shift minimum temperatures by 2–4°F. Clear, calm conditions would favor the lower bins via enhanced longwave radiation loss, while increased humidity or residual convection would suppress cooling toward the 82–83°F range. Historical August climatology shows typical minima of 78°F, providing context for the narrow spread amid ongoing warm advection and minimal tropical influence. Updated model runs tonight will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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