Current forecast models from sources including ECMWF and national agencies project Munich's overnight low on September 25 near 5–7°C under mostly clear skies and light winds, supporting radiative cooling after a daytime high around 17°C. This aligns with recent stable high-pressure patterns and below-average temperatures for late September, though still well above the historical record low of -1.9°C. Trader consensus splitting evenly between sub-zero and 9°C+ outcomes reflects model sensitivity to exact cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and minor timing shifts in the 48-hour window, with 4–6°C bins attracting the strongest specific interest as the most probable range based on ensemble guidance. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Munich on September 25?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 25?
-1°C or below 100%
9°C or higher 100%
1°C 40%
2°C 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 25, 2026
-1°C or below
100%
0°C
39%
1°C
40%
2°C
40%
3°C
40%
4°C
39%
5°C
39%
6°C
39%
7°C
39%
8°C
39%
9°C or higher
100%
-1°C or below 100%
9°C or higher 100%
1°C 40%
2°C 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 25, 2026
-1°C or below
$0 KL.
100%
0°C
$0 KL.
39%
1°C
$0 KL.
40%
2°C
$0 KL.
40%
3°C
$0 KL.
40%
4°C
$0 KL.
39%
5°C
$0 KL.
39%
6°C
$0 KL.
39%
7°C
$0 KL.
39%
8°C
$0 KL.
39%
9°C or higher
$0 KL.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including ECMWF and national agencies project Munich's overnight low on September 25 near 5–7°C under mostly clear skies and light winds, supporting radiative cooling after a daytime high around 17°C. This aligns with recent stable high-pressure patterns and below-average temperatures for late September, though still well above the historical record low of -1.9°C. Trader consensus splitting evenly between sub-zero and 9°C+ outcomes reflects model sensitivity to exact cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and minor timing shifts in the 48-hour window, with 4–6°C bins attracting the strongest specific interest as the most probable range based on ensemble guidance. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including ECMWF and national agencies project Munich's overnight low on September 25 near 5–7°C under mostly clear skies and light winds, supporting radiative cooling after a daytime high around 17°C. This aligns with recent stable high-pressure patterns and below-average temperatures for late September, though still well above the historical record low of -1.9°C. Trader consensus splitting evenly between sub-zero and 9°C+ outcomes reflects model sensitivity to exact cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and minor timing shifts in the 48-hour window, with 4–6°C bins attracting the strongest specific interest as the most probable range based on ensemble guidance. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including ECMWF and national agencies project Munich's overnight low on September 25 near 5–7°C under mostly clear skies and light winds, supporting radiative cooling after a daytime high around 17°C. This aligns with recent stable high-pressure patterns and below-average temperatures for late September, though still well above the historical record low of -1.9°C. Trader consensus splitting evenly between sub-zero and 9°C+ outcomes reflects model sensitivity to exact cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and minor timing shifts in the 48-hour window, with 4–6°C bins attracting the strongest specific interest as the most probable range based on ensemble guidance. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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