**Latest ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS project Moscow’s overnight low on September 25 near 9–11°C under southerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling.** This mild setup, following recent showers and a warmer-than-average late-September pattern, underpins the 49% market-implied odds on 14°C or higher while supporting the clustered probabilities around 5–13°C. Historical September 25 lows average 6.3°C with records dipping below freezing, yet current steering patterns and high pressure reduce the chance of sharp drops. Traders are weighting near-term model consensus over climatology, with resolution hinging on final observational data from Russian meteorological services.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Moscow on September 25?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 25?
14°C or higher 98%
4°C or below 50%
5°C 40%
6°C 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 25, 2026
4°C or below
50%
5°C
40%
6°C
40%
7°C
40%
8°C
40%
9°C
40%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C or higher
98%
14°C or higher 98%
4°C or below 50%
5°C 40%
6°C 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 25, 2026
4°C or below
$0 KL.
50%
5°C
$0 KL.
40%
6°C
$0 KL.
40%
7°C
$0 KL.
40%
8°C
$0 KL.
40%
9°C
$0 KL.
40%
10°C
$0 KL.
40%
11°C
$0 KL.
40%
12°C
$0 KL.
40%
13°C
$0 KL.
40%
14°C or higher
$0 KL.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS project Moscow’s overnight low on September 25 near 9–11°C under southerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling.** This mild setup, following recent showers and a warmer-than-average late-September pattern, underpins the 49% market-implied odds on 14°C or higher while supporting the clustered probabilities around 5–13°C. Historical September 25 lows average 6.3°C with records dipping below freezing, yet current steering patterns and high pressure reduce the chance of sharp drops. Traders are weighting near-term model consensus over climatology, with resolution hinging on final observational data from Russian meteorological services.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS project Moscow’s overnight low on September 25 near 9–11°C under southerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling.** This mild setup, following recent showers and a warmer-than-average late-September pattern, underpins the 49% market-implied odds on 14°C or higher while supporting the clustered probabilities around 5–13°C. Historical September 25 lows average 6.3°C with records dipping below freezing, yet current steering patterns and high pressure reduce the chance of sharp drops. Traders are weighting near-term model consensus over climatology, with resolution hinging on final observational data from Russian meteorological services.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Latest ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS project Moscow’s overnight low on September 25 near 9–11°C under southerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling.** This mild setup, following recent showers and a warmer-than-average late-September pattern, underpins the 49% market-implied odds on 14°C or higher while supporting the clustered probabilities around 5–13°C. Historical September 25 lows average 6.3°C with records dipping below freezing, yet current steering patterns and high pressure reduce the chance of sharp drops. Traders are weighting near-term model consensus over climatology, with resolution hinging on final observational data from Russian meteorological services.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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