Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models show a warming trend into September 25 in Wuhan, with daytime highs projected near 31–33°C amid increasing cloud cover and scattered showers. Precipitation and associated cloudiness reduce solar heating, limiting peak temperatures, while variable wind patterns and humidity levels influence how quickly the boundary layer warms. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in the timing and intensity of incoming rain bands, producing the current broad distribution of market-implied odds across the 29–36°C range. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow this uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 25?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 25?
30°C 34%
32°C 24%
34°C 23%
33°C 22%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 25, 2026
27°C or below
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
17%
30°C
34%
31°C
21%
32°C
24%
33°C
22%
34°C
23%
35°C
18%
36°C
8%
37°C or higher
4%
30°C 34%
32°C 24%
34°C 23%
33°C 22%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 25, 2026
27°C or below
$0 KL.
4%
28°C
$0 KL.
4%
29°C
$0 KL.
17%
30°C
$0 KL.
34%
31°C
$0 KL.
21%
32°C
$0 KL.
24%
33°C
$0 KL.
22%
34°C
$0 KL.
23%
35°C
$0 KL.
18%
36°C
$107 KL.
8%
37°C or higher
$0 KL.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models show a warming trend into September 25 in Wuhan, with daytime highs projected near 31–33°C amid increasing cloud cover and scattered showers. Precipitation and associated cloudiness reduce solar heating, limiting peak temperatures, while variable wind patterns and humidity levels influence how quickly the boundary layer warms. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in the timing and intensity of incoming rain bands, producing the current broad distribution of market-implied odds across the 29–36°C range. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow this uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$107Ngày kết thúc
Sep 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models show a warming trend into September 25 in Wuhan, with daytime highs projected near 31–33°C amid increasing cloud cover and scattered showers. Precipitation and associated cloudiness reduce solar heating, limiting peak temperatures, while variable wind patterns and humidity levels influence how quickly the boundary layer warms. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in the timing and intensity of incoming rain bands, producing the current broad distribution of market-implied odds across the 29–36°C range. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow this uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$107Ngày kết thúc
Sep 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models show a warming trend into September 25 in Wuhan, with daytime highs projected near 31–33°C amid increasing cloud cover and scattered showers. Precipitation and associated cloudiness reduce solar heating, limiting peak temperatures, while variable wind patterns and humidity levels influence how quickly the boundary layer warms. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in the timing and intensity of incoming rain bands, producing the current broad distribution of market-implied odds across the 29–36°C range. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow this uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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