Recent forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international models project a high of 31–33°C on September 25 under partly cloudy to sunny skies with minimal rain risk, aligning with late-September subtropical norms where weakening monsoon flows allow diurnal heating but limit extremes. This consensus, supported by consistent model runs showing stable steering patterns and no incoming tropical systems, positions mid-30s temperatures as the most probable range while underscoring uncertainty from short-term convective variability or model revisions. Trader emphasis on 37°C-plus outcomes reflects hedging against potential under-forecasted warming trends seen in prior weeks, though historical September maxima rarely exceed 34°C absent strong high-pressure ridges. Updated model outputs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 25?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 25?
33°C 32%
32°C 30%
31°C 23%
29°C 17%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 25, 2026
27°C or below
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
17%
30°C
17%
31°C
23%
32°C
30%
33°C
32%
34°C
12%
35°C
15%
36°C
16%
37°C or higher
4%
33°C 32%
32°C 30%
31°C 23%
29°C 17%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 25, 2026
27°C or below
$0 KL.
4%
28°C
$0 KL.
4%
29°C
$0 KL.
17%
30°C
$15 KL.
17%
31°C
$5 KL.
23%
32°C
$0 KL.
30%
33°C
$21 KL.
32%
34°C
$0 KL.
12%
35°C
$0 KL.
15%
36°C
$0 KL.
16%
37°C or higher
$0 KL.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international models project a high of 31–33°C on September 25 under partly cloudy to sunny skies with minimal rain risk, aligning with late-September subtropical norms where weakening monsoon flows allow diurnal heating but limit extremes. This consensus, supported by consistent model runs showing stable steering patterns and no incoming tropical systems, positions mid-30s temperatures as the most probable range while underscoring uncertainty from short-term convective variability or model revisions. Trader emphasis on 37°C-plus outcomes reflects hedging against potential under-forecasted warming trends seen in prior weeks, though historical September maxima rarely exceed 34°C absent strong high-pressure ridges. Updated model outputs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$41Ngày kết thúc
Sep 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international models project a high of 31–33°C on September 25 under partly cloudy to sunny skies with minimal rain risk, aligning with late-September subtropical norms where weakening monsoon flows allow diurnal heating but limit extremes. This consensus, supported by consistent model runs showing stable steering patterns and no incoming tropical systems, positions mid-30s temperatures as the most probable range while underscoring uncertainty from short-term convective variability or model revisions. Trader emphasis on 37°C-plus outcomes reflects hedging against potential under-forecasted warming trends seen in prior weeks, though historical September maxima rarely exceed 34°C absent strong high-pressure ridges. Updated model outputs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$41Ngày kết thúc
Sep 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international models project a high of 31–33°C on September 25 under partly cloudy to sunny skies with minimal rain risk, aligning with late-September subtropical norms where weakening monsoon flows allow diurnal heating but limit extremes. This consensus, supported by consistent model runs showing stable steering patterns and no incoming tropical systems, positions mid-30s temperatures as the most probable range while underscoring uncertainty from short-term convective variability or model revisions. Trader emphasis on 37°C-plus outcomes reflects hedging against potential under-forecasted warming trends seen in prior weeks, though historical September maxima rarely exceed 34°C absent strong high-pressure ridges. Updated model outputs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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