**Forecast models show the overnight low in Paris on September 6 centering near 14–15°C under a stable high-pressure system with light easterly winds.** Clear or partly cloudy skies overnight will allow radiative cooling, favoring the lower end of the range (13–14°C) if dew points remain modest and winds stay light. Slightly higher readings (15–16°C) could result from increased low-level moisture or a modest uptick in wind mixing that limits surface cooling. Ensemble spreads reflect typical short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer processes rather than major synoptic shifts, keeping the 11–16°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing while the sub-10°C and 17°C+ tails remain low-probability outliers. Updated model runs and Météo-France guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the exact minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on September 6?
15°C 48%
11°C 43%
16°C 43%
14°C 26%
10°C or below
8%
11°C
43%
12°C
22%
13°C
25%
14°C
26%
15°C
48%
16°C
43%
17°C
6%
18°C
6%
19°C
6%
20°C or higher
6%
15°C 48%
11°C 43%
16°C 43%
14°C 26%
10°C or below
8%
11°C
43%
12°C
22%
13°C
25%
14°C
26%
15°C
48%
16°C
43%
17°C
6%
18°C
6%
19°C
6%
20°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models show the overnight low in Paris on September 6 centering near 14–15°C under a stable high-pressure system with light easterly winds.** Clear or partly cloudy skies overnight will allow radiative cooling, favoring the lower end of the range (13–14°C) if dew points remain modest and winds stay light. Slightly higher readings (15–16°C) could result from increased low-level moisture or a modest uptick in wind mixing that limits surface cooling. Ensemble spreads reflect typical short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer processes rather than major synoptic shifts, keeping the 11–16°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing while the sub-10°C and 17°C+ tails remain low-probability outliers. Updated model runs and Météo-France guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the exact minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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