Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daily minimum near 24–25°C for Qingdao on August 29, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and elevated humidity associated with regional summer monsoon flow. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling over the Yellow Sea coastal plain, where sea-surface temperatures remain near 26–28°C and moderate land-sea temperature gradients sustain onshore winds. Historical August climatology shows typical overnight lows of 21–23°C, yet current model consensus points to warmer minima due to the absence of clear skies or northerly advection. Traders have assigned the highest implied probability (42%) to 30°C or higher, reflecting uncertainty in short-term forecast evolution and potential for localized urban heat retention, while outcomes clustered around 22–24°C capture the most probable range ahead of the next model update cycle.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 29?
30°C or higher 84%
20°C or below 44%
27°C 44%
29°C 44%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 29, 2026
20°C or below
44%
21°C
24%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
27%
25°C
24%
26°C
43%
27°C
44%
28°C
43%
29°C
44%
30°C or higher
84%
30°C or higher 84%
20°C or below 44%
27°C 44%
29°C 44%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 29, 2026
20°C or below
$59 KL.
44%
21°C
$0 KL.
24%
22°C
$0 KL.
27%
23°C
$0 KL.
27%
24°C
$0 KL.
27%
25°C
$0 KL.
24%
26°C
$10 KL.
43%
27°C
$5 KL.
44%
28°C
$145 KL.
43%
29°C
$5 KL.
44%
30°C or higher
$5 KL.
84%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daily minimum near 24–25°C for Qingdao on August 29, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and elevated humidity associated with regional summer monsoon flow. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling over the Yellow Sea coastal plain, where sea-surface temperatures remain near 26–28°C and moderate land-sea temperature gradients sustain onshore winds. Historical August climatology shows typical overnight lows of 21–23°C, yet current model consensus points to warmer minima due to the absence of clear skies or northerly advection. Traders have assigned the highest implied probability (42%) to 30°C or higher, reflecting uncertainty in short-term forecast evolution and potential for localized urban heat retention, while outcomes clustered around 22–24°C capture the most probable range ahead of the next model update cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$229Ngày kết thúc
Aug 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daily minimum near 24–25°C for Qingdao on August 29, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and elevated humidity associated with regional summer monsoon flow. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling over the Yellow Sea coastal plain, where sea-surface temperatures remain near 26–28°C and moderate land-sea temperature gradients sustain onshore winds. Historical August climatology shows typical overnight lows of 21–23°C, yet current model consensus points to warmer minima due to the absence of clear skies or northerly advection. Traders have assigned the highest implied probability (42%) to 30°C or higher, reflecting uncertainty in short-term forecast evolution and potential for localized urban heat retention, while outcomes clustered around 22–24°C capture the most probable range ahead of the next model update cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$229Ngày kết thúc
Aug 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daily minimum near 24–25°C for Qingdao on August 29, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and elevated humidity associated with regional summer monsoon flow. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling over the Yellow Sea coastal plain, where sea-surface temperatures remain near 26–28°C and moderate land-sea temperature gradients sustain onshore winds. Historical August climatology shows typical overnight lows of 21–23°C, yet current model consensus points to warmer minima due to the absence of clear skies or northerly advection. Traders have assigned the highest implied probability (42%) to 30°C or higher, reflecting uncertainty in short-term forecast evolution and potential for localized urban heat retention, while outcomes clustered around 22–24°C capture the most probable range ahead of the next model update cycle.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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