Persistent warm, humid air masses and northeast monsoon flow are keeping Shanghai's overnight minimum temperatures elevated, with official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models converging on a 26–27°C low for September 3. High dew points near 24–25°C, widespread cloud cover, and light rain suppress radiative cooling under the urban heat island effect, aligning with the market's strong 93% consensus at 27°C. Historical September averages for the city hover around 20–22°C minima, but this year's late-summer pattern has sustained warmer baselines. A sudden clearing of skies or stronger northerly advection could allow brief dips toward 25°C, though current model runs show low probability of such shifts before midnight local time.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 3?
27°C 93%
26°C 8%
25°C 4%
24°C <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 3, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
8%
27°C
93%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 93%
26°C 8%
25°C 4%
24°C <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 3, 2026
22°C or below
$561 KL.
<1%
23°C
$673 KL.
<1%
24°C
$415 KL.
<1%
25°C
$812 KL.
4%
26°C
$2,069 KL.
8%
27°C
$3,636 KL.
93%
28°C
$986 KL.
<1%
29°C
$285 KL.
<1%
30°C
$91 KL.
<1%
31°C
$91 KL.
<1%
32°C or higher
$126 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm, humid air masses and northeast monsoon flow are keeping Shanghai's overnight minimum temperatures elevated, with official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models converging on a 26–27°C low for September 3. High dew points near 24–25°C, widespread cloud cover, and light rain suppress radiative cooling under the urban heat island effect, aligning with the market's strong 93% consensus at 27°C. Historical September averages for the city hover around 20–22°C minima, but this year's late-summer pattern has sustained warmer baselines. A sudden clearing of skies or stronger northerly advection could allow brief dips toward 25°C, though current model runs show low probability of such shifts before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$9,744Ngày kết thúc
Sep 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm, humid air masses and northeast monsoon flow are keeping Shanghai's overnight minimum temperatures elevated, with official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models converging on a 26–27°C low for September 3. High dew points near 24–25°C, widespread cloud cover, and light rain suppress radiative cooling under the urban heat island effect, aligning with the market's strong 93% consensus at 27°C. Historical September averages for the city hover around 20–22°C minima, but this year's late-summer pattern has sustained warmer baselines. A sudden clearing of skies or stronger northerly advection could allow brief dips toward 25°C, though current model runs show low probability of such shifts before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$9,744Ngày kết thúc
Sep 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Persistent warm, humid air masses and northeast monsoon flow are keeping Shanghai's overnight minimum temperatures elevated, with official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models converging on a 26–27°C low for September 3. High dew points near 24–25°C, widespread cloud cover, and light rain suppress radiative cooling under the urban heat island effect, aligning with the market's strong 93% consensus at 27°C. Historical September averages for the city hover around 20–22°C minima, but this year's late-summer pattern has sustained warmer baselines. A sudden clearing of skies or stronger northerly advection could allow brief dips toward 25°C, though current model runs show low probability of such shifts before midnight local time.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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