Trader sentiment clusters around 24–26°C for Shanghai’s September 6 low because recent GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs consistently project overnight minima near 23–25°C under light northerly flow, partial cloud cover, and light rain that limits radiative cooling. Elevated humidity near 70–80% and a stable subtropical ridge suppress stronger nocturnal drops, keeping values above the September climatological average of roughly 20°C. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing creates the tight probability distribution across 22–27°C outcomes, with lower odds on extremes reflecting limited potential for either rapid clearing or cold advection before resolution on official observatory data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 6?
22°C 43%
23°C 43%
27°C 42%
28°C 42%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 6, 2026
20°C or below
24%
21°C
35%
22°C
43%
23°C
43%
24°C
26%
25°C
29%
26°C
26%
27°C
42%
28°C
42%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
38%
22°C 43%
23°C 43%
27°C 42%
28°C 42%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 6, 2026
20°C or below
$175 KL.
24%
21°C
$0 KL.
35%
22°C
$0 KL.
43%
23°C
$0 KL.
43%
24°C
$0 KL.
26%
25°C
$0 KL.
29%
26°C
$0 KL.
26%
27°C
$0 KL.
42%
28°C
$0 KL.
42%
29°C
$0 KL.
2%
30°C or higher
$0 KL.
38%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment clusters around 24–26°C for Shanghai’s September 6 low because recent GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs consistently project overnight minima near 23–25°C under light northerly flow, partial cloud cover, and light rain that limits radiative cooling. Elevated humidity near 70–80% and a stable subtropical ridge suppress stronger nocturnal drops, keeping values above the September climatological average of roughly 20°C. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing creates the tight probability distribution across 22–27°C outcomes, with lower odds on extremes reflecting limited potential for either rapid clearing or cold advection before resolution on official observatory data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$175Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment clusters around 24–26°C for Shanghai’s September 6 low because recent GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs consistently project overnight minima near 23–25°C under light northerly flow, partial cloud cover, and light rain that limits radiative cooling. Elevated humidity near 70–80% and a stable subtropical ridge suppress stronger nocturnal drops, keeping values above the September climatological average of roughly 20°C. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing creates the tight probability distribution across 22–27°C outcomes, with lower odds on extremes reflecting limited potential for either rapid clearing or cold advection before resolution on official observatory data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$175Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters around 24–26°C for Shanghai’s September 6 low because recent GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs consistently project overnight minima near 23–25°C under light northerly flow, partial cloud cover, and light rain that limits radiative cooling. Elevated humidity near 70–80% and a stable subtropical ridge suppress stronger nocturnal drops, keeping values above the September climatological average of roughly 20°C. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing creates the tight probability distribution across 22–27°C outcomes, with lower odds on extremes reflecting limited potential for either rapid clearing or cold advection before resolution on official observatory data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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