Recent official forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and ensemble models project Tel Aviv's overnight low on August 29 around 25–26°C, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with moderate humidity, light southwesterly winds, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Sea-breeze moderation and stable high pressure suppress sharper drops, aligning with climatological baselines near 24–25°C but elevated by current warmth. This consensus underpins the 46.5% implied probability for 25°C as the minimum, with higher outcomes reflecting model spread in wind and cloud cover; traders monitor final NHC-style updates and local observations for resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 29?
25°C 51%
28°C or higher 50%
26°C 49%
23°C 26%
18°C or below
7%
19°C
4%
20°C
1%
21°C
9%
22°C
10%
23°C
26%
24°C
14%
25°C
47%
26°C
49%
27°C
17%
28°C or higher
50%
25°C 51%
28°C or higher 50%
26°C 49%
23°C 26%
18°C or below
7%
19°C
4%
20°C
1%
21°C
9%
22°C
10%
23°C
26%
24°C
14%
25°C
47%
26°C
49%
27°C
17%
28°C or higher
50%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and ensemble models project Tel Aviv's overnight low on August 29 around 25–26°C, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with moderate humidity, light southwesterly winds, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Sea-breeze moderation and stable high pressure suppress sharper drops, aligning with climatological baselines near 24–25°C but elevated by current warmth. This consensus underpins the 46.5% implied probability for 25°C as the minimum, with higher outcomes reflecting model spread in wind and cloud cover; traders monitor final NHC-style updates and local observations for resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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