**Current forecast models from sources like the GFS indicate Tel Aviv’s overnight minimum on September 22, 2026, will likely reach about 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly or northwesterly winds, and stable high pressure near 1013 hPa.** Dew points around 19–20°C are limiting further cooling, while recent observations show the prior night’s low at 22.1°C and climatological averages near 22°C. Persistent Mediterranean sea-surface warmth and minimal overnight cloud cover are supporting slightly elevated readings relative to seasonal norms. These factors explain the strong market-implied probability (90%) for a 25°C low, with lower outcomes like 20–24°C each at 10% reflecting residual uncertainty in exact model runs or localized variations at Ben Gurion Airport. The resolution source is the NOAA lowest hourly reading for the calendar day, and traders are weighting the consensus of stable, warm nocturnal conditions over historical baselines.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 22?
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below 1.0%
20°C 1.0%
21°C 1.0%
$540 KL.
$540 KL.
Sep 22, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below 1.0%
20°C 1.0%
21°C 1.0%
$540 KL.
$540 KL.
Sep 22, 2026
18°C or below
$0 KL.
No
19°C
$15 KL.
No
20°C
$0 KL.
No
21°C
$0 KL.
No
22°C
$73 KL.
No
23°C
$35 KL.
No
24°C
$202 KL.
No
25°C
$200 KL.
Yes
26°C
$0 KL.
No
27°C
$0 KL.
No
28°C or higher
$15 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from sources like the GFS indicate Tel Aviv’s overnight minimum on September 22, 2026, will likely reach about 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly or northwesterly winds, and stable high pressure near 1013 hPa.** Dew points around 19–20°C are limiting further cooling, while recent observations show the prior night’s low at 22.1°C and climatological averages near 22°C. Persistent Mediterranean sea-surface warmth and minimal overnight cloud cover are supporting slightly elevated readings relative to seasonal norms.
These factors explain the strong market-implied probability (90%) for a 25°C low, with lower outcomes like 20–24°C each at 10% reflecting residual uncertainty in exact model runs or localized variations at Ben Gurion Airport. The resolution source is the NOAA lowest hourly reading for the calendar day, and traders are weighting the consensus of stable, warm nocturnal conditions over historical baselines.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$540Ngày kết thúc
Sep 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from sources like the GFS indicate Tel Aviv’s overnight minimum on September 22, 2026, will likely reach about 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly or northwesterly winds, and stable high pressure near 1013 hPa.** Dew points around 19–20°C are limiting further cooling, while recent observations show the prior night’s low at 22.1°C and climatological averages near 22°C. Persistent Mediterranean sea-surface warmth and minimal overnight cloud cover are supporting slightly elevated readings relative to seasonal norms.
These factors explain the strong market-implied probability (90%) for a 25°C low, with lower outcomes like 20–24°C each at 10% reflecting residual uncertainty in exact model runs or localized variations at Ben Gurion Airport. The resolution source is the NOAA lowest hourly reading for the calendar day, and traders are weighting the consensus of stable, warm nocturnal conditions over historical baselines.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$540Ngày kết thúc
Sep 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
**Current forecast models from sources like the GFS indicate Tel Aviv’s overnight minimum on September 22, 2026, will likely reach about 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly or northwesterly winds, and stable high pressure near 1013 hPa.** Dew points around 19–20°C are limiting further cooling, while recent observations show the prior night’s low at 22.1°C and climatological averages near 22°C. Persistent Mediterranean sea-surface warmth and minimal overnight cloud cover are supporting slightly elevated readings relative to seasonal norms. These factors explain the strong market-implied probability (90%) for a 25°C low, with lower outcomes like 20–24°C each at 10% reflecting residual uncertainty in exact model runs or localized variations at Ben Gurion Airport. The resolution source is the NOAA lowest hourly reading for the calendar day, and traders are weighting the consensus of stable, warm nocturnal conditions over historical baselines.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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