Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate overnight lows in Tokyo near 19–20°C for June 25, driven by the ongoing tsuyu rainy season that moderates temperatures through persistent cloud cover and moisture. Historical normals place the daily minimum around 20°C, with recent model runs showing limited variability due to stable atmospheric patterns and no strong cold-air intrusions expected. Trader consensus, reflected in the 53.5% implied probability for 20°C and 43.5% for 21°C, aligns with this evidence-based outlook while assigning lower odds to outliers, as new observational data or updated guidance could still adjust the final recorded low within the narrow 18–22°C range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Tokyo on June 25?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on June 25?
20°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$21,556 KL.
$21,556 KL.
Jun 25, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$21,556 KL.
$21,556 KL.
Jun 25, 2026
16°C or below
$284 KL.
No
17°C
$432 KL.
No
18°C
$1,001 KL.
No
19°C
$3,165 KL.
No
20°C
$4,039 KL.
Yes
21°C
$10,596 KL.
No
22°C
$711 KL.
No
23°C
$465 KL.
No
24°C
$349 KL.
No
25°C
$260 KL.
No
26°C or higher
$254 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate overnight lows in Tokyo near 19–20°C for June 25, driven by the ongoing tsuyu rainy season that moderates temperatures through persistent cloud cover and moisture. Historical normals place the daily minimum around 20°C, with recent model runs showing limited variability due to stable atmospheric patterns and no strong cold-air intrusions expected. Trader consensus, reflected in the 53.5% implied probability for 20°C and 43.5% for 21°C, aligns with this evidence-based outlook while assigning lower odds to outliers, as new observational data or updated guidance could still adjust the final recorded low within the narrow 18–22°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$21,556Ngày kết thúc
Jun 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate overnight lows in Tokyo near 19–20°C for June 25, driven by the ongoing tsuyu rainy season that moderates temperatures through persistent cloud cover and moisture. Historical normals place the daily minimum around 20°C, with recent model runs showing limited variability due to stable atmospheric patterns and no strong cold-air intrusions expected. Trader consensus, reflected in the 53.5% implied probability for 20°C and 43.5% for 21°C, aligns with this evidence-based outlook while assigning lower odds to outliers, as new observational data or updated guidance could still adjust the final recorded low within the narrow 18–22°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$21,556Ngày kết thúc
Jun 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate overnight lows in Tokyo near 19–20°C for June 25, driven by the ongoing tsuyu rainy season that moderates temperatures through persistent cloud cover and moisture. Historical normals place the daily minimum around 20°C, with recent model runs showing limited variability due to stable atmospheric patterns and no strong cold-air intrusions expected. Trader consensus, reflected in the 53.5% implied probability for 20°C and 43.5% for 21°C, aligns with this evidence-based outlook while assigning lower odds to outliers, as new observational data or updated guidance could still adjust the final recorded low within the narrow 18–22°C range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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