Emmanuel Macron’s second presidential term runs through May 2027 under the Fifth Republic constitution, creating a high structural barrier to any early departure before mid-2026. Persistent parliamentary fragmentation since the 2024 snap elections has produced repeated government collapses and prime-ministerial turnover, yet opposition parties have focused pressure on budget passage and legislative gridlock rather than forcing presidential resignation. Macron has publicly committed to completing his mandate and stepping away from elected office afterward. Trader pricing reflects these institutional and personal constraints, with only narrow scenarios—such as an unforeseen health event, major scandal, or sustained no-confidence campaign—potentially altering the outlook before the resolution window closes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$2,005,991 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
30 tháng 6, 2026
1%
$2,005,991 KL.
30 tháng 6, 2026
$414,146 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Emmanuel Macron’s second presidential term runs through May 2027 under the Fifth Republic constitution, creating a high structural barrier to any early departure before mid-2026. Persistent parliamentary fragmentation since the 2024 snap elections has produced repeated government collapses and prime-ministerial turnover, yet opposition parties have focused pressure on budget passage and legislative gridlock rather than forcing presidential resignation. Macron has publicly committed to completing his mandate and stepping away from elected office afterward. Trader pricing reflects these institutional and personal constraints, with only narrow scenarios—such as an unforeseen health event, major scandal, or sustained no-confidence campaign—potentially altering the outlook before the resolution window closes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,005,991Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Emmanuel Macron’s second presidential term runs through May 2027 under the Fifth Republic constitution, creating a high structural barrier to any early departure before mid-2026. Persistent parliamentary fragmentation since the 2024 snap elections has produced repeated government collapses and prime-ministerial turnover, yet opposition parties have focused pressure on budget passage and legislative gridlock rather than forcing presidential resignation. Macron has publicly committed to completing his mandate and stepping away from elected office afterward. Trader pricing reflects these institutional and personal constraints, with only narrow scenarios—such as an unforeseen health event, major scandal, or sustained no-confidence campaign—potentially altering the outlook before the resolution window closes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$2,005,991Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Emmanuel Macron’s second presidential term runs through May 2027 under the Fifth Republic constitution, creating a high structural barrier to any early departure before mid-2026. Persistent parliamentary fragmentation since the 2024 snap elections has produced repeated government collapses and prime-ministerial turnover, yet opposition parties have focused pressure on budget passage and legislative gridlock rather than forcing presidential resignation. Macron has publicly committed to completing his mandate and stepping away from elected office afterward. Trader pricing reflects these institutional and personal constraints, with only narrow scenarios—such as an unforeseen health event, major scandal, or sustained no-confidence campaign—potentially altering the outlook before the resolution window closes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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