Mexico's 2027 legislative election for the Chamber of Deputies features a dominant Morena-led coalition, leaving the contest for second place fragmented among MC, PT, PVEM, PAN, and PRI. Recent coalition fractures, including the March 2026 defeat of President Sheinbaum's electoral reform by opposition parties and even junior partners PVEM and PT over seat and funding concerns, highlight internal strains that keep smaller parties competitive. Historical 2024 seat distributions and opposition fragmentation sustain tight implied probabilities, as no single challenger has consolidated support. Upcoming polling shifts, coalition realignments ahead of the June 2027 vote, or changes in voter turnout among key blocs could widen gaps by clarifying relative strengths.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
PVEM 83%
PRI 46%
PT 45%
MC 43%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 6, 2027
PAN
-
PRI
46%
PT
45%
PVEM
83%
MC
43%
Morena
2%
PVEM 83%
PRI 46%
PT 45%
MC 43%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 6, 2027
PAN
$96 KL.
-
PRI
$1 KL.
46%
PT
$1 KL.
45%
PVEM
$1 KL.
83%
MC
$1 KL.
43%
Morena
$148 KL.
2%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Mexico's 2027 legislative election for the Chamber of Deputies features a dominant Morena-led coalition, leaving the contest for second place fragmented among MC, PT, PVEM, PAN, and PRI. Recent coalition fractures, including the March 2026 defeat of President Sheinbaum's electoral reform by opposition parties and even junior partners PVEM and PT over seat and funding concerns, highlight internal strains that keep smaller parties competitive. Historical 2024 seat distributions and opposition fragmentation sustain tight implied probabilities, as no single challenger has consolidated support. Upcoming polling shifts, coalition realignments ahead of the June 2027 vote, or changes in voter turnout among key blocs could widen gaps by clarifying relative strengths.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Thị trường mở: May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
Khối lượng
$249Ngày kết thúc
Jun 6, 2027Thị trường mở
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Mexico's 2027 legislative election for the Chamber of Deputies features a dominant Morena-led coalition, leaving the contest for second place fragmented among MC, PT, PVEM, PAN, and PRI. Recent coalition fractures, including the March 2026 defeat of President Sheinbaum's electoral reform by opposition parties and even junior partners PVEM and PT over seat and funding concerns, highlight internal strains that keep smaller parties competitive. Historical 2024 seat distributions and opposition fragmentation sustain tight implied probabilities, as no single challenger has consolidated support. Upcoming polling shifts, coalition realignments ahead of the June 2027 vote, or changes in voter turnout among key blocs could widen gaps by clarifying relative strengths.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Khối lượng
$249Ngày kết thúc
Jun 6, 2027Thị trường mở
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico's 2027 legislative election for the Chamber of Deputies features a dominant Morena-led coalition, leaving the contest for second place fragmented among MC, PT, PVEM, PAN, and PRI. Recent coalition fractures, including the March 2026 defeat of President Sheinbaum's electoral reform by opposition parties and even junior partners PVEM and PT over seat and funding concerns, highlight internal strains that keep smaller parties competitive. Historical 2024 seat distributions and opposition fragmentation sustain tight implied probabilities, as no single challenger has consolidated support. Upcoming polling shifts, coalition realignments ahead of the June 2027 vote, or changes in voter turnout among key blocs could widen gaps by clarifying relative strengths.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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