Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the $50-55 million range (62.5% implied probability) for the Michael Jackson biopic's second domestic weekend, with 36.5% eyeing over $55 million, driven by impressive early tracking and audience enthusiasm overriding a dismal 38% Rotten Tomatoes critic score. After a record-shattering $97 million opening April 24-26 fueled by fan turnout and $217 million worldwide debut, the film posted $14.4 million on second Friday (May 1) and a robust $23 million Saturday—signaling under-50% drops amid competition from Devil Wears Prada 2. Sky-high 97% audience scores and diverse demographics underscore word-of-mouth legs, with Sunday estimates pivotal for final tallies nearing $425 million global cume.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật"Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office
"Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office
50-55m 62%
>55m 41.3%
45-50m <1%
<35m <1%
$98,728 KL.
$98,728 KL.
May 4, 2026
<35m
<1%
35-40m
<1%
40-45m
<1%
45-50m
<1%
50-55m
62%
>55m
41%
50-55m 62%
>55m 41.3%
45-50m <1%
<35m <1%
$98,728 KL.
$98,728 KL.
May 4, 2026
<35m
$6,724 KL.
<1%
35-40m
$20,850 KL.
<1%
40-45m
$8,306 KL.
<1%
45-50m
$13,739 KL.
<1%
50-55m
$24,550 KL.
62%
>55m
$24,560 KL.
41%
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 1 - May 3) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the $50-55 million range (62.5% implied probability) for the Michael Jackson biopic's second domestic weekend, with 36.5% eyeing over $55 million, driven by impressive early tracking and audience enthusiasm overriding a dismal 38% Rotten Tomatoes critic score. After a record-shattering $97 million opening April 24-26 fueled by fan turnout and $217 million worldwide debut, the film posted $14.4 million on second Friday (May 1) and a robust $23 million Saturday—signaling under-50% drops amid competition from Devil Wears Prada 2. Sky-high 97% audience scores and diverse demographics underscore word-of-mouth legs, with Sunday estimates pivotal for final tallies nearing $425 million global cume.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 1 - May 3) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Thị trường mở: Apr 30, 2026, 11:26 AM ET
Khối lượng
$98,728Ngày kết thúc
May 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 30, 2026, 11:26 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 1 - May 3) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the $50-55 million range (62.5% implied probability) for the Michael Jackson biopic's second domestic weekend, with 36.5% eyeing over $55 million, driven by impressive early tracking and audience enthusiasm overriding a dismal 38% Rotten Tomatoes critic score. After a record-shattering $97 million opening April 24-26 fueled by fan turnout and $217 million worldwide debut, the film posted $14.4 million on second Friday (May 1) and a robust $23 million Saturday—signaling under-50% drops amid competition from Devil Wears Prada 2. Sky-high 97% audience scores and diverse demographics underscore word-of-mouth legs, with Sunday estimates pivotal for final tallies nearing $425 million global cume.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 1 - May 3) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Khối lượng
$98,728Ngày kết thúc
May 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 30, 2026, 11:26 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the $50-55 million range (62.5% implied probability) for the Michael Jackson biopic's second domestic weekend, with 36.5% eyeing over $55 million, driven by impressive early tracking and audience enthusiasm overriding a dismal 38% Rotten Tomatoes critic score. After a record-shattering $97 million opening April 24-26 fueled by fan turnout and $217 million worldwide debut, the film posted $14.4 million on second Friday (May 1) and a robust $23 million Saturday—signaling under-50% drops amid competition from Devil Wears Prada 2. Sky-high 97% audience scores and diverse demographics underscore word-of-mouth legs, with Sunday estimates pivotal for final tallies nearing $425 million global cume.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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