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icon for Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place

Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place

icon for Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place

Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place

Tião Pessoa 44%

Victória Mello Vic 44%

Juiz Ramon Moreira 44%

Marcelo Aro 44%

Polymarket
MỚI

Tião Pessoa 44%

Victória Mello Vic 44%

Juiz Ramon Moreira 44%

Marcelo Aro 44%

Polymarket
MỚI
icon for Tião Pessoa

Tião Pessoa

$0 KL.

44%

icon for Victória Mello Vic

Victória Mello Vic

$0 KL.

44%

icon for Juiz Ramon Moreira

Juiz Ramon Moreira

$0 KL.

44%

icon for Marcelo Aro

Marcelo Aro

$0 KL.

44%

icon for Marco Antônio Superman

Marco Antônio Superman

$0 KL.

44%

icon for Marília Campos

Marília Campos

$0 KL.

44%

icon for Carlin Moura

Carlin Moura

$0 KL.

44%

icon for Carlos Viana

Carlos Viana

$0 KL.

44%

icon for Domingos Sávio

Domingos Sávio

$0 KL.

44%

icon for Gustavo Galassi

Gustavo Galassi

$0 KL.

44%

icon for Jordano Metalúrgico

Jordano Metalúrgico

$0 KL.

44%

icon for Manoel Carvalho

Manoel Carvalho

$0 KL.

44%

icon for Arcanjo Pimenta

Arcanjo Pimenta

$0 KL.

37%

icon for Ana Luiza do MLB

Ana Luiza do MLB

$0 KL.

37%

icon for Marcelo Heringer

Marcelo Heringer

$20 KL.

10%

icon for Fidélis Alcântara

Fidélis Alcântara

$20 KL.

9%

icon for Áurea Carolina

Áurea Carolina

$20 KL.

43%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The crowded field of 17 registered candidates for the two Minas Gerais Senate seats has kept early trader consensus tightly balanced, with no single contender establishing a clear edge in implied probabilities. Recent polling shows Marília Campos, Domingos Sávio, and incumbent Carlos Viana clustered near the top, while others like Áurea Carolina and additional PL and PSD figures remain within striking distance. The official campaign launch in mid-August, combined with ongoing party negotiations and limited voter information this far from October, sustains the even split. Further separation could emerge from new statewide surveys, coalition alignments, or high-profile endorsements that consolidate support ahead of the first-round vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$60
Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026
Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The crowded field of 17 registered candidates for the two Minas Gerais Senate seats has kept early trader consensus tightly balanced, with no single contender establishing a clear edge in implied probabilities. Recent polling shows Marília Campos, Domingos Sávio, and incumbent Carlos Viana clustered near the top, while others like Áurea Carolina and additional PL and PSD figures remain within striking distance. The official campaign launch in mid-August, combined with ongoing party negotiations and limited voter information this far from October, sustains the even split. Further separation could emerge from new statewide surveys, coalition alignments, or high-profile endorsements that consolidate support ahead of the first-round vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$60
Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026
Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.

Câu hỏi thường gặp

"Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place" là thị trường dự đoán trên Polymarket với 17 kết quả có thể nơi các nhà giao dịch mua và bán cổ phần dựa trên điều họ tin sẽ xảy ra. Kết quả dẫn đầu hiện tại là "Tião Pessoa" ở mức 44%, tiếp theo là "Victória Mello Vic" ở mức 44%. Giá phản ánh xác suất cộng đồng theo thời gian thực. Ví dụ, cổ phần ở giá 44¢ ngụ ý thị trường tập thể cho rằng có 44% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Tỷ lệ này thay đổi liên tục khi trader phản ứng với diễn biến và thông tin mới. Cổ phần đúng kết quả có thể đổi lấy $1 mỗi cổ phần khi thị trường được giải quyết.

"Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place" là thị trường mới được tạo trên Polymarket, mở vào Aug 17, 2026. Là thị trường sớm, đây là cơ hội để bạn trở thành một trong những trader đầu tiên đặt tỷ lệ và thiết lập tín hiệu giá ban đầu. Bạn cũng có thể đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi khối lượng và hoạt động giao dịch khi thị trường phát triển.

Để giao dịch trên "Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place," duyệt 17 kết quả có sẵn trên trang này. Mỗi kết quả hiển thị giá hiện tại đại diện cho xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Để mở vị thế, chọn kết quả bạn tin là có khả năng nhất, chọn "Có" để giao dịch ủng hộ hoặc "Không" để giao dịch chống, nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu kết quả bạn chọn đúng khi thị trường giải quyết, cổ phần "Có" của bạn trả $1 mỗi cổ phần. Nếu sai, chúng trả $0. Bạn cũng có thể bán cổ phần bất cứ lúc nào trước khi giải quyết nếu muốn chốt lời hoặc cắt lỗ.

Ứng viên dẫn đầu hiện tại cho "Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place" là "Tião Pessoa" ở mức 44%, nghĩa là thị trường cho 44% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Kết quả gần nhất tiếp theo là "Victória Mello Vic" ở mức 44%. Tỷ lệ cập nhật theo thời gian thực khi trader mua và bán cổ phần, phản ánh cái nhìn tập thể mới nhất về điều có khả năng xảy ra nhất. Kiểm tra thường xuyên hoặc đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi tỷ lệ thay đổi khi thông tin mới xuất hiện.

Quy tắc giải quyết cho "Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place" định nghĩa chính xác điều gì cần xảy ra để mỗi kết quả được tuyên bố thắng — bao gồm nguồn dữ liệu chính thức được sử dụng để xác định kết quả. Bạn có thể xem tiêu chí giải quyết đầy đủ trong phần "Quy tắc" trên trang này phía trên bình luận. Chúng tôi khuyên đọc kỹ quy tắc trước khi giao dịch, vì chúng chỉ rõ điều kiện, trường hợp ngoại lệ và nguồn chính xác quản lý cách thị trường được thanh toán.