Google's announcement at I/O 2026 that Gemini 3.5 Pro would follow the newly launched 3.5 Flash model the next month has anchored trader expectations for a June rollout of the next major Pro iteration. With the current 3.1 Pro series stabilizing after its February preview and Google continuing rapid iteration to match competitors' reasoning and multimodal advances, the market shows tight clustering around mid-to-late June dates. Low probability assigned to no release by June 30 reflects historical patterns of Google delivering promised updates within stated windows, though exact timing remains sensitive to final testing, API integration, or last-minute benchmark refinements before wider availability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtJune 23 34%
June 19 33%
June 17 32%
June 11 32%
June 26
29%
June 13
6%
June 23
34%
June 24
30%
On or prior to June 2
22%
June 8
27%
June 10
29%
June 20
6%
June 3
6%
June 4
20%
June 5
30%
June 6
6%
June 15
10%
June 21
6%
June 25
27%
June 7
5%
June 9
29%
June 11
32%
June 12
31%
June 14
6%
June 16
31%
June 17
32%
June 18
30%
June 19
33%
June 30
30%
June 22
29%
June 27
6%
June 28
3%
June 29
28%
No release by June 30
10%
June 23 34%
June 19 33%
June 17 32%
June 11 32%
June 26
29%
June 13
6%
June 23
34%
June 24
30%
On or prior to June 2
22%
June 8
27%
June 10
29%
June 20
6%
June 3
6%
June 4
20%
June 5
30%
June 6
6%
June 15
10%
June 21
6%
June 25
27%
June 7
5%
June 9
29%
June 11
32%
June 12
31%
June 14
6%
June 16
31%
June 17
32%
June 18
30%
June 19
33%
June 30
30%
June 22
29%
June 27
6%
June 28
3%
June 29
28%
No release by June 30
10%
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's announcement at I/O 2026 that Gemini 3.5 Pro would follow the newly launched 3.5 Flash model the next month has anchored trader expectations for a June rollout of the next major Pro iteration. With the current 3.1 Pro series stabilizing after its February preview and Google continuing rapid iteration to match competitors' reasoning and multimodal advances, the market shows tight clustering around mid-to-late June dates. Low probability assigned to no release by June 30 reflects historical patterns of Google delivering promised updates within stated windows, though exact timing remains sensitive to final testing, API integration, or last-minute benchmark refinements before wider availability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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