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icon for Paraná Senate Election: 2nd Place

Paraná Senate Election: 2nd Place

icon for Paraná Senate Election: 2nd Place

Paraná Senate Election: 2nd Place

Cristina Reis Graeml 45%

Gleisi 45%

Joaquim do MLB 45%

Karen Guerreiro 45%

Polymarket
MỚI

Cristina Reis Graeml 45%

Gleisi 45%

Joaquim do MLB 45%

Karen Guerreiro 45%

Polymarket
MỚI
icon for Cristina Reis Graeml

Cristina Reis Graeml

$0 KL.

45%

icon for Gleisi

Gleisi

$0 KL.

45%

icon for Joaquim do MLB

Joaquim do MLB

$0 KL.

45%

icon for Karen Guerreiro

Karen Guerreiro

$0 KL.

45%

icon for Dr. Rosinha

Dr. Rosinha

$0 KL.

43%

icon for Alexandre Curi

Alexandre Curi

$0 KL.

37%

icon for Deltan Dallagnol

Deltan Dallagnol

$0 KL.

37%

icon for Filipe Barros

Filipe Barros

$0 KL.

37%

icon for Marcelo Marcelino

Marcelo Marcelino

$20 KL.

10%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The race for second place in Paraná's 2026 Senate election remains tightly contested among multiple candidates, reflecting fragmented voter preferences behind frontrunner Álvaro Dias. Recent Genial/Quaest and other surveys show Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), and Filipe Barros (PL) clustered within a few points in the low teens, with Dr. Rosinha and others also registering measurable support. This distribution stems from distinct regional bases, party alliances tied to Governor Ratinho Júnior, and varying name recognition from prior legislative or federal roles. No single contender has consolidated the anti-Dias vote, and upcoming party conventions or further polling releases could shift momentum by clarifying alliances or highlighting eligibility questions still pending with electoral authorities. Traders price this uncertainty through closely matched contracts on the leading names.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$20
Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026
Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The race for second place in Paraná's 2026 Senate election remains tightly contested among multiple candidates, reflecting fragmented voter preferences behind frontrunner Álvaro Dias. Recent Genial/Quaest and other surveys show Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), and Filipe Barros (PL) clustered within a few points in the low teens, with Dr. Rosinha and others also registering measurable support. This distribution stems from distinct regional bases, party alliances tied to Governor Ratinho Júnior, and varying name recognition from prior legislative or federal roles. No single contender has consolidated the anti-Dias vote, and upcoming party conventions or further polling releases could shift momentum by clarifying alliances or highlighting eligibility questions still pending with electoral authorities. Traders price this uncertainty through closely matched contracts on the leading names.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$20
Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026
Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Câu hỏi thường gặp

"Paraná Senate Election: 2nd Place" là thị trường dự đoán trên Polymarket với 9 kết quả có thể nơi các nhà giao dịch mua và bán cổ phần dựa trên điều họ tin sẽ xảy ra. Kết quả dẫn đầu hiện tại là "Cristina Reis Graeml" ở mức 45%, tiếp theo là "Gleisi" ở mức 45%. Giá phản ánh xác suất cộng đồng theo thời gian thực. Ví dụ, cổ phần ở giá 45¢ ngụ ý thị trường tập thể cho rằng có 45% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Tỷ lệ này thay đổi liên tục khi trader phản ứng với diễn biến và thông tin mới. Cổ phần đúng kết quả có thể đổi lấy $1 mỗi cổ phần khi thị trường được giải quyết.

"Paraná Senate Election: 2nd Place" là thị trường mới được tạo trên Polymarket, mở vào Aug 17, 2026. Là thị trường sớm, đây là cơ hội để bạn trở thành một trong những trader đầu tiên đặt tỷ lệ và thiết lập tín hiệu giá ban đầu. Bạn cũng có thể đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi khối lượng và hoạt động giao dịch khi thị trường phát triển.

Để giao dịch trên "Paraná Senate Election: 2nd Place," duyệt 9 kết quả có sẵn trên trang này. Mỗi kết quả hiển thị giá hiện tại đại diện cho xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Để mở vị thế, chọn kết quả bạn tin là có khả năng nhất, chọn "Có" để giao dịch ủng hộ hoặc "Không" để giao dịch chống, nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu kết quả bạn chọn đúng khi thị trường giải quyết, cổ phần "Có" của bạn trả $1 mỗi cổ phần. Nếu sai, chúng trả $0. Bạn cũng có thể bán cổ phần bất cứ lúc nào trước khi giải quyết nếu muốn chốt lời hoặc cắt lỗ.

Ứng viên dẫn đầu hiện tại cho "Paraná Senate Election: 2nd Place" là "Cristina Reis Graeml" ở mức 45%, nghĩa là thị trường cho 45% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Kết quả gần nhất tiếp theo là "Gleisi" ở mức 45%. Tỷ lệ cập nhật theo thời gian thực khi trader mua và bán cổ phần, phản ánh cái nhìn tập thể mới nhất về điều có khả năng xảy ra nhất. Kiểm tra thường xuyên hoặc đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi tỷ lệ thay đổi khi thông tin mới xuất hiện.

Quy tắc giải quyết cho "Paraná Senate Election: 2nd Place" định nghĩa chính xác điều gì cần xảy ra để mỗi kết quả được tuyên bố thắng — bao gồm nguồn dữ liệu chính thức được sử dụng để xác định kết quả. Bạn có thể xem tiêu chí giải quyết đầy đủ trong phần "Quy tắc" trên trang này phía trên bình luận. Chúng tôi khuyên đọc kỹ quy tắc trước khi giao dịch, vì chúng chỉ rõ điều kiện, trường hợp ngoại lệ và nguồn chính xác quản lý cách thị trường được thanh toán.