Alagoas voters face a fragmented field for the October 2026 gubernatorial election, with four confirmed candidates producing tight implied probabilities across the leading names. Recent party conventions finalized slates for Renan Filho (MDB), JHC (PSDB-Cidadania), Márcio Jambo (Democratas), and Lenilda Luna (UP), leaving no candidate with a commanding position in available surveys. Mid-2026 polling showed Renan Filho and JHC statistically tied in the low-to-mid 40s in direct matchups, while smaller shares for the remaining contenders keep the overall race open. The absence of a dominant incumbent or decisive momentum shift since the 2022 cycle sustains the even distribution reflected in trader consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtJHC 42%
Renan Filho 40%
Márcio Jambo 22%
Lenilda Luna 15%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
JHC
42%
Renan Filho
40%
Márcio Jambo
22%
Lenilda Luna
15%
JHC 42%
Renan Filho 40%
Márcio Jambo 22%
Lenilda Luna 15%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
JHC
$0 KL.
42%
Renan Filho
$0 KL.
40%
Márcio Jambo
$0 KL.
22%
Lenilda Luna
$0 KL.
15%
The Alagoas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Alagoas voters face a fragmented field for the October 2026 gubernatorial election, with four confirmed candidates producing tight implied probabilities across the leading names. Recent party conventions finalized slates for Renan Filho (MDB), JHC (PSDB-Cidadania), Márcio Jambo (Democratas), and Lenilda Luna (UP), leaving no candidate with a commanding position in available surveys. Mid-2026 polling showed Renan Filho and JHC statistically tied in the low-to-mid 40s in direct matchups, while smaller shares for the remaining contenders keep the overall race open. The absence of a dominant incumbent or decisive momentum shift since the 2022 cycle sustains the even distribution reflected in trader consensus.
The Alagoas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Alagoas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Alagoas voters face a fragmented field for the October 2026 gubernatorial election, with four confirmed candidates producing tight implied probabilities across the leading names. Recent party conventions finalized slates for Renan Filho (MDB), JHC (PSDB-Cidadania), Márcio Jambo (Democratas), and Lenilda Luna (UP), leaving no candidate with a commanding position in available surveys. Mid-2026 polling showed Renan Filho and JHC statistically tied in the low-to-mid 40s in direct matchups, while smaller shares for the remaining contenders keep the overall race open. The absence of a dominant incumbent or decisive momentum shift since the 2022 cycle sustains the even distribution reflected in trader consensus.
The Alagoas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Alagoas voters face a fragmented field for the October 2026 gubernatorial election, with four confirmed candidates producing tight implied probabilities across the leading names. Recent party conventions finalized slates for Renan Filho (MDB), JHC (PSDB-Cidadania), Márcio Jambo (Democratas), and Lenilda Luna (UP), leaving no candidate with a commanding position in available surveys. Mid-2026 polling showed Renan Filho and JHC statistically tied in the low-to-mid 40s in direct matchups, while smaller shares for the remaining contenders keep the overall race open. The absence of a dominant incumbent or decisive momentum shift since the 2022 cycle sustains the even distribution reflected in trader consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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