The Supreme Court's April 6 order vacating a D.C. Circuit ruling upholding Steve Bannon's 2022 contempt of Congress conviction has cleared a procedural path for the Trump administration's DOJ to seek dismissal, driving a 15.5% implied probability for exoneration by April 30. However, no DOJ motion or lower court action has materialized in the intervening 12 days, amid standard timelines for filings, hearings, and judicial review that often span weeks. Bannon completed his four-month sentence in 2024, but formal dismissal remains pending; his separate 2025 New York fraud guilty plea offers no path to clearance. Traders reflect caution on rapid resolution, pricing significant barriers before the deadline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$14,715 KL.
$14,715 KL.
Apr 30, 2026
$14,715 KL.
$14,715 KL.
Apr 30, 2026
On April 6, 2026, the United States Supreme Court threw out an appellate ruling that had upheld Steve Bannon’s 2022 conviction on Contempt of Congress charges (see: https://apnews.com/article/supreme-court-capitol-riot-bannon-trump-4a4cf324096fc1bfed204d42b54d191e).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bannon’s 2022 Contempt of Congress conviction is dismissed, overturned, vacated, or otherwise reversed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying reversal requires that a United States court or other competent legal authority formally nullify the conviction itself. The vacating of appellate rulings, procedural actions toward reconsideration, or other changes which do not themselves result in the nullification of the conviction, will not alone count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Supreme Court's April 6 order vacating a D.C. Circuit ruling upholding Steve Bannon's 2022 contempt of Congress conviction has cleared a procedural path for the Trump administration's DOJ to seek dismissal, driving a 15.5% implied probability for exoneration by April 30. However, no DOJ motion or lower court action has materialized in the intervening 12 days, amid standard timelines for filings, hearings, and judicial review that often span weeks. Bannon completed his four-month sentence in 2024, but formal dismissal remains pending; his separate 2025 New York fraud guilty plea offers no path to clearance. Traders reflect caution on rapid resolution, pricing significant barriers before the deadline.
On April 6, 2026, the United States Supreme Court threw out an appellate ruling that had upheld Steve Bannon’s 2022 conviction on Contempt of Congress charges (see: https://apnews.com/article/supreme-court-capitol-riot-bannon-trump-4a4cf324096fc1bfed204d42b54d191e).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bannon’s 2022 Contempt of Congress conviction is dismissed, overturned, vacated, or otherwise reversed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying reversal requires that a United States court or other competent legal authority formally nullify the conviction itself. The vacating of appellate rulings, procedural actions toward reconsideration, or other changes which do not themselves result in the nullification of the conviction, will not alone count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bannon’s 2022 Contempt of Congress conviction is dismissed, overturned, vacated, or otherwise reversed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying reversal requires that a United States court or other competent legal authority formally nullify the conviction itself. The vacating of appellate rulings, procedural actions toward reconsideration, or other changes which do not themselves result in the nullification of the conviction, will not alone count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Apr 6, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$14,715Ngày kết thúc
Apr 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 6, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On April 6, 2026, the United States Supreme Court threw out an appellate ruling that had upheld Steve Bannon’s 2022 conviction on Contempt of Congress charges (see: https://apnews.com/article/supreme-court-capitol-riot-bannon-trump-4a4cf324096fc1bfed204d42b54d191e).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bannon’s 2022 Contempt of Congress conviction is dismissed, overturned, vacated, or otherwise reversed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying reversal requires that a United States court or other competent legal authority formally nullify the conviction itself. The vacating of appellate rulings, procedural actions toward reconsideration, or other changes which do not themselves result in the nullification of the conviction, will not alone count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Supreme Court's April 6 order vacating a D.C. Circuit ruling upholding Steve Bannon's 2022 contempt of Congress conviction has cleared a procedural path for the Trump administration's DOJ to seek dismissal, driving a 15.5% implied probability for exoneration by April 30. However, no DOJ motion or lower court action has materialized in the intervening 12 days, amid standard timelines for filings, hearings, and judicial review that often span weeks. Bannon completed his four-month sentence in 2024, but formal dismissal remains pending; his separate 2025 New York fraud guilty plea offers no path to clearance. Traders reflect caution on rapid resolution, pricing significant barriers before the deadline.
On April 6, 2026, the United States Supreme Court threw out an appellate ruling that had upheld Steve Bannon’s 2022 conviction on Contempt of Congress charges (see: https://apnews.com/article/supreme-court-capitol-riot-bannon-trump-4a4cf324096fc1bfed204d42b54d191e).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bannon’s 2022 Contempt of Congress conviction is dismissed, overturned, vacated, or otherwise reversed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying reversal requires that a United States court or other competent legal authority formally nullify the conviction itself. The vacating of appellate rulings, procedural actions toward reconsideration, or other changes which do not themselves result in the nullification of the conviction, will not alone count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bannon’s 2022 Contempt of Congress conviction is dismissed, overturned, vacated, or otherwise reversed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying reversal requires that a United States court or other competent legal authority formally nullify the conviction itself. The vacating of appellate rulings, procedural actions toward reconsideration, or other changes which do not themselves result in the nullification of the conviction, will not alone count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$14,715Ngày kết thúc
Apr 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 6, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Supreme Court's April 6 order vacating a D.C. Circuit ruling upholding Steve Bannon's 2022 contempt of Congress conviction has cleared a procedural path for the Trump administration's DOJ to seek dismissal, driving a 15.5% implied probability for exoneration by April 30. However, no DOJ motion or lower court action has materialized in the intervening 12 days, amid standard timelines for filings, hearings, and judicial review that often span weeks. Bannon completed his four-month sentence in 2024, but formal dismissal remains pending; his separate 2025 New York fraud guilty plea offers no path to clearance. Traders reflect caution on rapid resolution, pricing significant barriers before the deadline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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