Mediation efforts by the US-led Quad group, alongside the UN and African Union, have centered on phased proposals for a three-month humanitarian truce followed by a permanent ceasefire and civilian-led transition, yet deep mistrust between the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces has prevented agreement. The RSF accepted elements of the Quad roadmap in late 2025 and declared a unilateral truce, while the SAF has conditioned any halt on RSF withdrawals from key cities and territories. Ongoing hostilities, including sieges and advances in Khartoum and Darfur regions, continue to block de-escalation despite repeated international calls for monitored ceasefires. Recent rejections and stalled talks reflect competing territorial control and external actor influences, leaving any near-term resolution dependent on coordinated pressure or battlefield shifts within the resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtSudan civil war ceasefire by...?
Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?
$119,372 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31, 2026
11%
$119,372 KL.
December 31, 2026
$14,833 KL.
11%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.Mediation efforts by the US-led Quad group, alongside the UN and African Union, have centered on phased proposals for a three-month humanitarian truce followed by a permanent ceasefire and civilian-led transition, yet deep mistrust between the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces has prevented agreement. The RSF accepted elements of the Quad roadmap in late 2025 and declared a unilateral truce, while the SAF has conditioned any halt on RSF withdrawals from key cities and territories. Ongoing hostilities, including sieges and advances in Khartoum and Darfur regions, continue to block de-escalation despite repeated international calls for monitored ceasefires. Recent rejections and stalled talks reflect competing territorial control and external actor influences, leaving any near-term resolution dependent on coordinated pressure or battlefield shifts within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
Thị trường mở: Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ET
Khối lượng
$119,372Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.Mediation efforts by the US-led Quad group, alongside the UN and African Union, have centered on phased proposals for a three-month humanitarian truce followed by a permanent ceasefire and civilian-led transition, yet deep mistrust between the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces has prevented agreement. The RSF accepted elements of the Quad roadmap in late 2025 and declared a unilateral truce, while the SAF has conditioned any halt on RSF withdrawals from key cities and territories. Ongoing hostilities, including sieges and advances in Khartoum and Darfur regions, continue to block de-escalation despite repeated international calls for monitored ceasefires. Recent rejections and stalled talks reflect competing territorial control and external actor influences, leaving any near-term resolution dependent on coordinated pressure or battlefield shifts within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
Khối lượng
$119,372Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mediation efforts by the US-led Quad group, alongside the UN and African Union, have centered on phased proposals for a three-month humanitarian truce followed by a permanent ceasefire and civilian-led transition, yet deep mistrust between the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces has prevented agreement. The RSF accepted elements of the Quad roadmap in late 2025 and declared a unilateral truce, while the SAF has conditioned any halt on RSF withdrawals from key cities and territories. Ongoing hostilities, including sieges and advances in Khartoum and Darfur regions, continue to block de-escalation despite repeated international calls for monitored ceasefires. Recent rejections and stalled talks reflect competing territorial control and external actor influences, leaving any near-term resolution dependent on coordinated pressure or battlefield shifts within the resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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