Recent breakthroughs in mediated talks, including a proposed memorandum of understanding between the United States and Iran, have driven near-certain trader consensus on a nuclear-related agreement by June 30. President Trump’s public statements on an imminent framework—covering ceasefire extension, Strait of Hormuz reopening, sanctions adjustments, and follow-on nuclear negotiations—combined with reports of finalized draft texts and Pakistani mediation have aligned with rapid diplomatic momentum following earlier conflict and protests. This reflects trader assessments of primary-source developments signaling swift progress toward verifiable limits on enrichment and related commitments. Even at such elevated levels, late-stage disputes over enrichment duration, IAEA verification protocols, or unilateral actions by third parties could still alter resolution before the deadline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtThỏa thuận hạt nhân Mỹ-Iran trước ngày 30 tháng 6?
Thỏa thuận hạt nhân Mỹ-Iran trước ngày 30 tháng 6?
Có
$11,324,069 KL.
$11,324,069 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
Có
$11,324,069 KL.
$11,324,069 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent breakthroughs in mediated talks, including a proposed memorandum of understanding between the United States and Iran, have driven near-certain trader consensus on a nuclear-related agreement by June 30. President Trump’s public statements on an imminent framework—covering ceasefire extension, Strait of Hormuz reopening, sanctions adjustments, and follow-on nuclear negotiations—combined with reports of finalized draft texts and Pakistani mediation have aligned with rapid diplomatic momentum following earlier conflict and protests. This reflects trader assessments of primary-source developments signaling swift progress toward verifiable limits on enrichment and related commitments. Even at such elevated levels, late-stage disputes over enrichment duration, IAEA verification protocols, or unilateral actions by third parties could still alter resolution before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Thị trường mở: Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ET
Khối lượng
$11,324,069Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kết quả đề xuất: Có
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Có
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent breakthroughs in mediated talks, including a proposed memorandum of understanding between the United States and Iran, have driven near-certain trader consensus on a nuclear-related agreement by June 30. President Trump’s public statements on an imminent framework—covering ceasefire extension, Strait of Hormuz reopening, sanctions adjustments, and follow-on nuclear negotiations—combined with reports of finalized draft texts and Pakistani mediation have aligned with rapid diplomatic momentum following earlier conflict and protests. This reflects trader assessments of primary-source developments signaling swift progress toward verifiable limits on enrichment and related commitments. Even at such elevated levels, late-stage disputes over enrichment duration, IAEA verification protocols, or unilateral actions by third parties could still alter resolution before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Khối lượng
$11,324,069Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kết quả đề xuất: Có
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Có
Recent breakthroughs in mediated talks, including a proposed memorandum of understanding between the United States and Iran, have driven near-certain trader consensus on a nuclear-related agreement by June 30. President Trump’s public statements on an imminent framework—covering ceasefire extension, Strait of Hormuz reopening, sanctions adjustments, and follow-on nuclear negotiations—combined with reports of finalized draft texts and Pakistani mediation have aligned with rapid diplomatic momentum following earlier conflict and protests. This reflects trader assessments of primary-source developments signaling swift progress toward verifiable limits on enrichment and related commitments. Even at such elevated levels, late-stage disputes over enrichment duration, IAEA verification protocols, or unilateral actions by third parties could still alter resolution before the deadline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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