Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 73.5% for OpenAI releasing a social network in 2026, driven primarily by the company's March 2026 shutdown of its Sora app—a TikTok-like platform for sharing AI-generated videos launched in late 2025—which signaled a strategic pivot away from consumer social media experiments toward core large language model advancements, enterprise revenue growth, and ChatGPT ad integration. Early 2025 prototypes of an X-like network never materialized, and a January 2026 report on biometric-verified social features remains unconfirmed without official announcements or timelines. With OpenAI prioritizing AI hardware rumors, safety blueprints, and an anticipated IPO amid intense competition from Anthropic and Google, traders see slim odds of diverting resources to a new social platform before year-end, absent a major catalyst like a developer conference reveal.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2026
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 73.5% for OpenAI releasing a social network in 2026, driven primarily by the company's March 2026 shutdown of its Sora app—a TikTok-like platform for sharing AI-generated videos launched in late 2025—which signaled a strategic pivot away from consumer social media experiments toward core large language model advancements, enterprise revenue growth, and ChatGPT ad integration. Early 2025 prototypes of an X-like network never materialized, and a January 2026 report on biometric-verified social features remains unconfirmed without official announcements or timelines. With OpenAI prioritizing AI hardware rumors, safety blueprints, and an anticipated IPO amid intense competition from Anthropic and Google, traders see slim odds of diverting resources to a new social platform before year-end, absent a major catalyst like a developer conference reveal.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jan 29, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
Khối lượng
$5,228Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 29, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 73.5% for OpenAI releasing a social network in 2026, driven primarily by the company's March 2026 shutdown of its Sora app—a TikTok-like platform for sharing AI-generated videos launched in late 2025—which signaled a strategic pivot away from consumer social media experiments toward core large language model advancements, enterprise revenue growth, and ChatGPT ad integration. Early 2025 prototypes of an X-like network never materialized, and a January 2026 report on biometric-verified social features remains unconfirmed without official announcements or timelines. With OpenAI prioritizing AI hardware rumors, safety blueprints, and an anticipated IPO amid intense competition from Anthropic and Google, traders see slim odds of diverting resources to a new social platform before year-end, absent a major catalyst like a developer conference reveal.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$5,228Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 29, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 73.5% for OpenAI releasing a social network in 2026, driven primarily by the company's March 2026 shutdown of its Sora app—a TikTok-like platform for sharing AI-generated videos launched in late 2025—which signaled a strategic pivot away from consumer social media experiments toward core large language model advancements, enterprise revenue growth, and ChatGPT ad integration. Early 2025 prototypes of an X-like network never materialized, and a January 2026 report on biometric-verified social features remains unconfirmed without official announcements or timelines. With OpenAI prioritizing AI hardware rumors, safety blueprints, and an anticipated IPO amid intense competition from Anthropic and Google, traders see slim odds of diverting resources to a new social platform before year-end, absent a major catalyst like a developer conference reveal.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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