Strong opposition from Denmark and Greenland remains the central driver behind traders’ 96.9% implied probability that the United States will not acquire Greenland before 2027. Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen has repeatedly stated the territory is not for sale, while Greenlandic leaders have rejected any transfer and pursued deeper EU economic ties, including a €200 million investment package announced in September 2026. Ongoing trilateral talks since January have focused on expanded U.S. military access and investment vetoes rather than sovereignty change, with no agreement reached amid competing priorities such as the Iran conflict. Legal requirements for Greenlandic consent and historical precedent for territorial transfers further constrain rapid progress. A late diplomatic breakthrough or unexpected independence referendum could still shift outcomes, though both remain remote given current positions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCó
3% khả năng
$35,433,988 KL.
$35,433,988 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
Có
3% khả năng
$35,433,988 KL.
$35,433,988 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Strong opposition from Denmark and Greenland remains the central driver behind traders’ 96.9% implied probability that the United States will not acquire Greenland before 2027. Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen has repeatedly stated the territory is not for sale, while Greenlandic leaders have rejected any transfer and pursued deeper EU economic ties, including a €200 million investment package announced in September 2026. Ongoing trilateral talks since January have focused on expanded U.S. military access and investment vetoes rather than sovereignty change, with no agreement reached amid competing priorities such as the Iran conflict. Legal requirements for Greenlandic consent and historical precedent for territorial transfers further constrain rapid progress. A late diplomatic breakthrough or unexpected independence referendum could still shift outcomes, though both remain remote given current positions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Thị trường mở: Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ET
Khối lượng
$35,433,988Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Strong opposition from Denmark and Greenland remains the central driver behind traders’ 96.9% implied probability that the United States will not acquire Greenland before 2027. Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen has repeatedly stated the territory is not for sale, while Greenlandic leaders have rejected any transfer and pursued deeper EU economic ties, including a €200 million investment package announced in September 2026. Ongoing trilateral talks since January have focused on expanded U.S. military access and investment vetoes rather than sovereignty change, with no agreement reached amid competing priorities such as the Iran conflict. Legal requirements for Greenlandic consent and historical precedent for territorial transfers further constrain rapid progress. A late diplomatic breakthrough or unexpected independence referendum could still shift outcomes, though both remain remote given current positions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Khối lượng
$35,433,988Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Strong opposition from Denmark and Greenland remains the central driver behind traders’ 96.9% implied probability that the United States will not acquire Greenland before 2027. Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen has repeatedly stated the territory is not for sale, while Greenlandic leaders have rejected any transfer and pursued deeper EU economic ties, including a €200 million investment package announced in September 2026. Ongoing trilateral talks since January have focused on expanded U.S. military access and investment vetoes rather than sovereignty change, with no agreement reached amid competing priorities such as the Iran conflict. Legal requirements for Greenlandic consent and historical precedent for territorial transfers further constrain rapid progress. A late diplomatic breakthrough or unexpected independence referendum could still shift outcomes, though both remain remote given current positions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp