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50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?

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50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?

23% 機率
Polymarket
最新
23% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.Trader consensus prices "No" at 77.5% implied probability, driven by MrBeast's recent first-24-hour viewership plateauing below the 50 million threshold—his mid-March survival challenge "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat" garnered just 36 million opening-day views despite heavy promotion and 473 million total to date. This underperformance aligns with broader trends of declining long-form peaks amid a shift toward game-show formats that have alienated core fans, per industry analytics. Hype surrounds the April 4 premiere of his teased mega-collab "50 Streamers Compete for $1,000,000," featuring stars like xQc, Ludwig, and Pokimane, which could ignite viral streamer cross-promotion—but traders remain skeptical, betting on YouTube algorithm dynamics and audience fatigue over explosive breakout. Watch initial upload velocity as the pivotal catalyst through April 30.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
交易量
$5,097
結束日期
2026-04-30
市場開放時間
Mar 30, 2026, 6:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.Trader consensus prices "No" at 77.5% implied probability, driven by MrBeast's recent first-24-hour viewership plateauing below the 50 million threshold—his mid-March survival challenge "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat" garnered just 36 million opening-day views despite heavy promotion and 473 million total to date. This underperformance aligns with broader trends of declining long-form peaks amid a shift toward game-show formats that have alienated core fans, per industry analytics. Hype surrounds the April 4 premiere of his teased mega-collab "50 Streamers Compete for $1,000,000," featuring stars like xQc, Ludwig, and Pokimane, which could ignite viral streamer cross-promotion—but traders remain skeptical, betting on YouTube algorithm dynamics and audience fatigue over explosive breakout. Watch initial upload velocity as the pivotal catalyst through April 30.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
交易量
$5,097
結束日期
2026-04-30
市場開放時間
Mar 30, 2026, 6:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 23% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 23¢, the market collectively assigns a 23% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 30, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?" is 23% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 23% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.