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政治·文化

Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月30日至4月1日？

Market icon
政治·文化

Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月30日至4月1日？

Mar 30

Apr 1

Mar 30

Apr 1

65-89 39%

40-64 33%

90-114 16%

少於40條 6.5%

Polymarket
NEW

$71,609 交易量

65-89 39%

40-64 33%

90-114 16%

少於40條 6.5%

Polymarket
NEW

$71,609 交易量

少於40條

$10,708 交易量

7%

40-64

$3,146 交易量

33%

65-89

$1,963 交易量

39%

90-114

$1,764 交易量

16%

115-139

$2,822 交易量

7%

140-164

$4,411 交易量

2%

165-189

$3,460 交易量

1%

190-214

$11,330 交易量

<1%

215-239

$12,458 交易量

<1%

240+

$20,767 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 30 12:00 PM ET to April 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's X posts from March 30 to April 1 at 65-89 (38.5% implied probability), narrowly ahead of 40-64 (32.5%), mirroring his recent daily average of 25-30 amid fluctuating engagement. The past week's activity—peaking at 43 posts on March 26 before tapering to 27 on the 28th and just 9 on the 29th—anchors the tight race, with no major Tesla, SpaceX, or Grok catalysts in the last 48 hours to ignite a surge. Competitive dynamics hinge on weekday patterns and surprise viral moments, as historical spikes (e.g., 37-43 mid-week) versus quiet weekends create uncertainty; upcoming FSD or Starship buzz could push toward 90+, but steady pace favors the mid-bins.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's X posts from March 30 to April 1 at 65-89 (38.5% implied probability), narrowly ahead of 40-64 (32.5%), mirroring his recent daily average of 25-30 amid fluctuating engagement. The past week's activity—peaking at 43 posts on March 26 before tapering to 27 on the 28th and just 9 on the 29th—anchors the tight race, with no major Tesla, SpaceX, or Grok catalysts in the last 48 hours to ignite a surge. Competitive dynamics hinge on weekday patterns and surprise viral moments, as historical spikes (e.g., 37-43 mid-week) versus quiet weekends create uncertainty; upcoming FSD or Starship buzz could push toward 90+, but steady pace favors the mid-bins.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 30 12:00 PM ET to April 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's X posts from March 30 to April 1 at 65-89 (38.5% implied probability), narrowly ahead of 40-64 (32.5%), mirroring his recent daily average of 25-30 amid fluctuating engagement. The past week's activity—peaking at 43 posts on March 26 before tapering to 27 on the 28th and just 9 on the 29th—anchors the tight race, with no major Tesla, SpaceX, or Grok catalysts in the last 48 hours to ignite a surge. Competitive dynamics hinge on weekday patterns and surprise viral moments, as historical spikes (e.g., 37-43 mid-week) versus quiet weekends create uncertainty; upcoming FSD or Starship buzz could push toward 90+, but steady pace favors the mid-bins.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's X posts from March 30 to April 1 at 65-89 (38.5% implied probability), narrowly ahead of 40-64 (32.5%), mirroring his recent daily average of 25-30 amid fluctuating engagement. The past week's activity—peaking at 43 posts on March 26 before tapering to 27 on the 28th and just 9 on the 29th—anchors the tight race, with no major Tesla, SpaceX, or Grok catalysts in the last 48 hours to ignite a surge. Competitive dynamics hinge on weekday patterns and surprise viral moments, as historical spikes (e.g., 37-43 mid-week) versus quiet weekends create uncertainty; upcoming FSD or Starship buzz could push toward 90+, but steady pace favors the mid-bins.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月30日至4月1日？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "65-89" at 39%, followed by "40-64" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月30日至4月1日？" has generated $71.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月30日至4月1日？," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月30日至4月1日？" is "65-89" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "40-64" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月30日至4月1日？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.